Football · Spain Tercera Group 12 · 03/10, 18:00
Prediction: Las Palmas C vs Lanzarote
Team pages: Las Palmas C · Lanzarote
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Las Palmas C1.57
Lanzarote0.73
1X2
Las Palmas C
Draw
Lanzarote
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Las Palmas C
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Lanzarote
1-8-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Las Palmas C
2–1–3
Lanzarote
(6 last)
- Las Palmas C2-0Lanzarote
- Lanzarote1-1Las Palmas C
- Lanzarote1-0Las Palmas C
- Las Palmas C3-1Lanzarote
- Lanzarote1-0Las Palmas C
- Las Palmas C1-2Lanzarote
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Las Palmas C 1559 · Lanzarote 1488
| Las Palmas C | Draw | Lanzarote | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 28% | 16% |
| Market | 58% | 24% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Las Palmas C (rating 1559 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Lanzarote: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Las Palmas C | Lanzarote | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5.3 / 6.6 | 3.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Las Palmas C 2–1–3 Lanzarote
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Las Palmas C | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lanzarote |
| 16/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Lanzarote | 1-1 | Las Palmas C |
| 16/01/22 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Lanzarote | 1-0 | Las Palmas C |
| 11/09/21 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Las Palmas C | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Lanzarote |
| 18/04/21 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Lanzarote | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Las Palmas C |
| 24/03/21 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Las Palmas C | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Lanzarote |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 12
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas C | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | CF San Bartolome | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | UD San Fernando | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Union de Tenerife | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Tenerife C | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 7 | Panaderia Pulido | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | CD Arcangel San Miguel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | UD Anaza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Villa Sta Brigida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Estrella CF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Llanos Aridane | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | CD Marino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Lanzarote | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Union Sur Yaiza | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | CD Laguna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | SD Villaverde Norte | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | UD Playas de Sotavento | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Las Palmas C | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| CD Arcangel San Miguel | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Real Union de Tenerife | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| UD Tamaraceite | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CD Herbania | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Las Palmas C (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Las Palmas C
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Estrella CF Spain Tercera Group 12 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Union Sur Yaiza Spain Tercera Group 12 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | UD Playas de Sotavento Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | CD Arcangel San Miguel Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | CD Atletico Paso Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Tenisca Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Panaderia Pulido Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Real Union de Tenerife Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | UD Tamaraceite Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 31/03 | CD Herbania Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Lanzarote
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | CF San Bartolome Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | SD Villaverde Norte Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | CD Arcangel San Miguel Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Real Union de Tenerife Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | CF San Bartolome Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | UD Tamaraceite Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | UD San Fernando Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | CD Herbania Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/04 | Arucas CF Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Las Palmas C Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Las Palmas C vs Lanzarote?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Las Palmas C win (57%). Probabilities: Las Palmas C 57%, draw 26%, Lanzarote 17%.
How many goals are expected in Las Palmas C vs Lanzarote?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Las Palmas C 1.57 · Lanzarote 0.73), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Las Palmas C vs Lanzarote?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.