Football · Costa Rica Primera Division Women · 03/10, 04:30
Prediction: Moravia (W) vs Municipal Pococi (W)
Team pages: Moravia (W) · Municipal Pococi (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Moravia (W)2.01
Municipal Pococi (W)1.08
1X2
Moravia (W)
Draw
Municipal Pococi (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Moravia (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Municipal Pococi (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Moravia (W)
1–2–1
Municipal Pococi (W)
(4 last)
- Municipal Pococi (W)1-0Moravia (W)
- Moravia (W)0-0Municipal Pococi (W)
- Moravia (W)1-0Municipal Pococi (W)
- Municipal Pococi (W)2-2Moravia (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moravia (W) 1455 · Municipal Pococi (W) 1404
| Moravia (W) | Draw | Municipal Pococi (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Market | 60% | 20% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moravia (W) (rating 1455 vs 1404).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moravia (W) | Municipal Pococi (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 0.3 / 4.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moravia (W) 1–2–1 Municipal Pococi (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division Women | Municipal Pococi (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Moravia (W) |
| 21/02/26 Costa Rica Primera Division Women | Moravia (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Municipal Pococi (W) |
| 28/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division Women | Moravia (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Municipal Pococi (W) |
| 10/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division Women | Municipal Pococi (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Moravia (W) |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alajuelense (W) | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Deportivo Saprissa (W) | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 13 | 15 |
| 4 | Dimas Escazu (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 11 |
| 5 | Moravia (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 7 |
| 6 | Carrillo FF (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 7 |
| 7 | AD Chorotega (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 7 |
| 8 | Municipal Pococi (W) | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 1 |
| 9 | Cartagines (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moravia (W) | Municipal Pococi (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Carrillo FF (W) | 6-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Alajuelense (W) | 1-2 L | 1-6 L |
| AD Chorotega (W) | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Dimas Escazu (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Saprissa (W) | 1-2 L | 0-8 L |
| Sporting San Jose (W) | 2-2 D | 1-7 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Moravia (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moravia (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Carrillo FF (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 18/09 | Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Deportivo Saprissa (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Carrillo FF (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Cartagines (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 21/06 | Cartagines (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Municipal Pococi (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Saprissa (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Carrillo FF (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/08 | Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | CS Herediano (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/05 | Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-5 | 0-9 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Deportivo Saprissa (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moravia (W) vs Municipal Pococi (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Moravia (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Moravia (W) 59%, draw 21%, Municipal Pococi (W) 20%.
How many goals are expected in Moravia (W) vs Municipal Pococi (W)?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Moravia (W) 2.01 · Municipal Pococi (W) 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Moravia (W) vs Municipal Pococi (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.