Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 04/10, 18:00
Prediction: UD Santa Marta vs Cultural Leonesa B
Team pages: UD Santa Marta · Cultural Leonesa B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
UD Santa Marta1.23
Cultural Leonesa B0.88
1X2
UD Santa Marta
Draw
Cultural Leonesa B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
UD Santa Marta
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Cultural Leonesa B
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UD Santa Marta
2–1–3
Cultural Leonesa B
(6 last)
- Cultural Leonesa B1-0UD Santa Marta
- UD Santa Marta2-0Cultural Leonesa B
- UD Santa Marta0-1Cultural Leonesa B
- Cultural Leonesa B4-3UD Santa Marta
- UD Santa Marta0-0Cultural Leonesa B
- Cultural Leonesa B0-1UD Santa Marta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UD Santa Marta 1509 · Cultural Leonesa B 1551
| UD Santa Marta | Draw | Cultural Leonesa B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cultural Leonesa B (rating 1509 vs 1551).
- H2H favours Cultural Leonesa B: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UD Santa Marta | Cultural Leonesa B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.6 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Santa Marta 2–1–3 Cultural Leonesa B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 8 | Cultural Leonesa B | 1-0 | UD Santa Marta |
| 13/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 8 | UD Santa Marta | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cultural Leonesa B |
| 23/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 8 | UD Santa Marta | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cultural Leonesa B |
| 12/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 8 | Cultural Leonesa B | 4-3 HT 3-1 | UD Santa Marta |
| 03/02/24 Spain Tercera Group 8 | UD Santa Marta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cultural Leonesa B |
| 16/09/23 Spain Tercera Group 8 | Cultural Leonesa B | 0-1 HT 0-0 | UD Santa Marta |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos Promesas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | CD Atletico Mansilles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Cultural Leonesa B | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | CD Virgen Del Camino | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | UD Santa Marta | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Arandina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | At. Bembibre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Cristo Atletico | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Almazan | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | CDA Palencia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | CD Calasanz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Turegano CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Mirandes B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Salamanca B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | CD Colegios Diocesanos | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UD Santa Marta | Cultural Leonesa B |
|---|---|---|
| CDA Palencia | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| CD Colegios Diocesanos | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Villaralbo | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: UD Santa Marta (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UD Santa Marta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Arandina Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Becerril Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Arandina Spain Tercera Group 8 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
Cultural Leonesa B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Burgos Promesas Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Mirandes B Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Atletico Tordesillas Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Numancia B Spain Tercera Group 8 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UD Santa Marta vs Cultural Leonesa B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UD Santa Marta win (44%). Probabilities: UD Santa Marta 44%, draw 30%, Cultural Leonesa B 26%.
How many goals are expected in UD Santa Marta vs Cultural Leonesa B?
The model expects 2.11 goals (UD Santa Marta 1.23 · Cultural Leonesa B 0.88), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in UD Santa Marta vs Cultural Leonesa B?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.