Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 04/10, 17:00

Prediction: At. Bembibre vs CD Virgen Del Camino

Team pages: At. Bembibre · CD Virgen Del Camino

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

At. Bembibre1.46

CD Virgen Del Camino1.47

1X2

35% 28% 36%

At. Bembibre Draw CD Virgen Del Camino

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

At. Bembibre 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDWLWDLW

CD Virgen Del Camino 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWWWL

Head-to-head

At. Bembibre 0–3–3 CD Virgen Del Camino (6 last)

CD Virgen Del Camino3-1At. Bembibre
At. Bembibre1-2CD Virgen Del Camino
CD Virgen Del Camino0-0At. Bembibre
At. Bembibre0-0CD Virgen Del Camino
CD Virgen Del Camino1-1At. Bembibre
At. Bembibre0-1CD Virgen Del Camino

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · At. Bembibre 1497 · CD Virgen Del Camino 1493

	At. Bembibre	Draw	CD Virgen Del Camino
Our model	36%	27%	37%
Market	35%	30%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Virgen Del Camino: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	At. Bembibre	CD Virgen Del Camino
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/43/14%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.7	4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.4	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 1.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +6’	2.55	3.00	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · At. Bembibre 0–3–3 CD Virgen Del Camino

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Virgen Del Camino	3-1 HT 3-1	At. Bembibre
23/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	At. Bembibre	1-2 HT 0-0	CD Virgen Del Camino
12/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Virgen Del Camino	0-0	At. Bembibre
24/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 8	At. Bembibre	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Virgen Del Camino
01/05/24 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Virgen Del Camino	1-1 HT 1-1	At. Bembibre
07/01/24 Spain Tercera Group 8	At. Bembibre	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Virgen Del Camino

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Burgos Promesas	4	3	1	0	7	0	10
2	CD Atletico Mansilles	4	3	1	0	6	2	10
3	Cultural Leonesa B	4	3	1	0	4	0	10
4	CD Virgen Del Camino	4	3	0	1	7	3	9
5	UD Santa Marta	4	3	0	1	6	4	9
6	Arandina	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
7	At. Bembibre	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
8	Cristo Atletico	4	2	1	1	3	3	7
9	Almazan	4	1	3	0	6	5	6
10	CDA Palencia	4	2	0	2	5	4	6
11	CD Calasanz	4	2	0	2	5	7	6
12	Villaralbo	4	1	1	2	7	5	4
13	Guijuelo	4	1	0	3	4	5	3
14	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
15	Turegano CF	4	0	1	3	2	6	1
16	Mirandes B	4	0	1	3	1	5	1
17	Salamanca B	4	0	1	3	5	11	1
18	CD Colegios Diocesanos	4	0	1	3	1	9	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	At. Bembibre	CD Virgen Del Camino
Cristo Atletico	2-0 W	0-1 L
CDA Palencia	1-4 L	2-3 L
Becerril	4-1 W	0-1 L
Arandina	3-3 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: At. Bembibre (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

At. Bembibre

LDDDWLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
13/09	Mirandes B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
05/09	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
10/05	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	1-1	1-4	3	0	L
02/05	Becerril Spain Tercera Group 8	3-1	4-1	4	3	W
26/04	Arandina Spain Tercera Group 8	–	3-3	–	–	D
18/04	Mirandes B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/04	UD Santa Marta Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
05/04	CD Virgen Del Camino Spain Tercera Group 8	1-3	1-3	2	0	L

CD Virgen Del Camino

WLLLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	Turegano CF Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	CD Calasanz Spain Tercera Group 8	–	4-1	–	–	W
06/09	Salamanca B Spain Tercera Group 8	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
10/05	CD Mojados Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
01/05	Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8	1-2	1-2	8	5	L
25/04	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-3	–	–	L
18/04	Becerril Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/04	Arandina Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-3	–	–	L
05/04	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	3-1	3-1	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in At. Bembibre vs CD Virgen Del Camino?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Virgen Del Camino win (36%). Probabilities: At. Bembibre 35%, draw 28%, CD Virgen Del Camino 36%.

How many goals are expected in At. Bembibre vs CD Virgen Del Camino?

The model expects 2.93 goals (At. Bembibre 1.46 · CD Virgen Del Camino 1.47), with a 63% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in At. Bembibre vs CD Virgen Del Camino?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.