Football · Spain Tercera Group 16 · 27/09, 12:00
Prediction: Varea vs FC La Calzada
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Varea1.39
FC La Calzada0.84
1X2
Varea
Draw
FC La Calzada
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Varea
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
FC La Calzada
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Varea
3–2–1
FC La Calzada
(6 last)
- FC La Calzada1-2Varea
- Varea0-0FC La Calzada
- Varea1-2FC La Calzada
- FC La Calzada0-1Varea
- Varea2-0FC La Calzada
- FC La Calzada2-2Varea
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Varea: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Varea | FC La Calzada | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0 | 0 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/75/0% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.5 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varea 3–2–1 FC La Calzada
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 16 | FC La Calzada | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Varea |
| 12/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 16 | Varea | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC La Calzada |
| 25/05/25 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs | Varea | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC La Calzada |
| 18/05/25 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs | FC La Calzada | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Varea |
| 04/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 16 | Varea | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC La Calzada |
| 21/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 16 | FC La Calzada | 2-2 | Varea |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 16
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC La Calzada | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Haro Deportivo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Berceo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Comillas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | San Marcial | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Cenicero | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Anguiano | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Alfaro | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Pradejón | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Oyonesa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Varea | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Yagüe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Casalarreina CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | Agoncillo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 17 | CA Vianes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | River Ebro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Varea | FC La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Pradejón | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Anguiano | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Haro Deportivo | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Agoncillo | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Villegas | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Varea (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varea
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Pradejón Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | San Marcial Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Cenicero Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Oyonesa Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Oyonesa Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Pradejón Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Anguiano Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Haro Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Agoncillo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Villegas Spain Tercera Group 16 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 10 | W |
FC La Calzada
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CA Vianes Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Casalarreina CF Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | CD Calahorra Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Pradejón Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Anguiano Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Haro Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Agoncillo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Villegas Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | CD Calahorra Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Comillas Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varea vs FC La Calzada?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Varea win (49%). Probabilities: Varea 49%, draw 30%, FC La Calzada 21%.
How many goals are expected in Varea vs FC La Calzada?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Varea 1.39 · FC La Calzada 0.84), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Varea vs FC La Calzada?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.