Football · Spain Tercera Group 16 · 27/09, 12:00

Prediction: Berceo vs San Marcial

Team pages: Berceo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Berceo2.05
San Marcial1.18
1X2
56% 24% 20%
Berceo Draw San Marcial
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Berceo 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLLWLWWL
San Marcial 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWLDWDLWDD
Head-to-head
Berceo 0–1–1 San Marcial (2 last)
  • San Marcial1-1Berceo
  • Berceo2-3San Marcial
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Berceo 1482 · San Marcial 1510
BerceoDrawSan Marcial
Our model57%23%20%
Market56%24%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BerceoSan Marcial
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.51.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.51 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/50/17%100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 1.33 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.27 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Berceo 0–1–1 San Marcial

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/26
Spain Tercera Group 16
San Marcial1-1Berceo
28/09/25
Spain Tercera Group 16
Berceo2-3
HT 0-1
San Marcial

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 16

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC La Calzada 3300 839
2 Haro Deportivo 3210 757
3 Berceo 3201 1036
4 CD Calahorra 3201 856
5 Comillas 3120 325
6 San Marcial 3120 215
7 Cenicero 3120 325
8 Anguiano 3120 325
9 Alfaro 3111 554
10 Pradejón 3111 444
11 Oyonesa 3102 243
12 Varea 3030 223
13 Yagüe 3102 343
14 Casalarreina CF 3102 253
15 Calasancio 3021 562
16 Agoncillo 3021 572
17 CA Vianes 3003 360
18 River Ebro 3003 1100

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBerceoSan Marcial
Anguiano 2-1 W 0-2 L
Haro Deportivo 2-3 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Berceo

LWWLLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Cenicero
Spain Tercera Group 16
1-0 1-2 16 L
13/09 River Ebro
Spain Tercera Group 16
1-0 7-0 21 W
05/09 Yagüe
Spain Tercera Group 16
1-1 2-1 14 W
10/05 Autol
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 1-2 –– L
30/04 Yagüe
Spain Tercera Group 16
0-0 2-0 48 W
26/04 UD Logrones B
Spain Tercera Group 16
1-1 1-2 04 L
19/04 Oyonesa
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 0-3 –– L
12/04 Pradejón
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 4-1 –– W
02/04 Anguiano
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 2-1 –– W
28/03 Haro Deportivo
Spain Tercera Group 16
0-1 2-3 05 L

San Marcial

DWLDWDLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Comillas
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 1-1 –– D
13/09 Varea
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 0-0 –– D
06/09 CA Vianes
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 1-0 –– W
10/05 Anguiano
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 0-2 –– L
03/05 Haro Deportivo
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 0-0 –– D
26/04 Agoncillo
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 4-3 –– W
18/04 Villegas
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 2-2 –– D
12/04 CD Calahorra
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 0-4 –– L
02/04 Comillas
Spain Tercera Group 16
1-0 2-0 47 W
29/03 CA Vianes
Spain Tercera Group 16
– 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Berceo vs San Marcial?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Berceo win (56%). Probabilities: Berceo 56%, draw 24%, San Marcial 20%.

How many goals are expected in Berceo vs San Marcial?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Berceo 2.05 · San Marcial 1.18), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Berceo vs San Marcial?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.