Football · Spain Tercera Group 16 · 05/09, 18:00
Prediction: Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Agoncillo1.46
Haro Deportivo1.57
1X2
Agoncillo
Draw
Haro Deportivo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Agoncillo
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Haro Deportivo
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Agoncillo
3–1–2
Haro Deportivo
(6 last)
- Haro Deportivo2-1Agoncillo
- Agoncillo2-2Haro Deportivo
- Haro Deportivo1-2Agoncillo
- Agoncillo0-1Haro Deportivo
- Agoncillo2-1Haro Deportivo
- Haro Deportivo1-2Agoncillo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Agoncillo 1448 · Haro Deportivo 1494
| Agoncillo | Draw | Haro Deportivo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haro Deportivo (rating 1448 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Agoncillo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Agoncillo | Haro Deportivo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.4 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/0/33% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3.7 | 2.8 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.7 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Agoncillo 3–1–2 Haro Deportivo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 16 | Haro Deportivo | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Agoncillo |
| 05/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 16 | Agoncillo | 2-2 | Haro Deportivo |
| 23/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 16 | Haro Deportivo | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Agoncillo |
| 10/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 16 | Agoncillo | 0-1 | Haro Deportivo |
| 02/04/23 Spain Tercera Group 16 | Agoncillo | 2-1 | Haro Deportivo |
| 04/12/22 Spain Tercera Group 16 | Haro Deportivo | 1-2 | Agoncillo |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 16
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | River Ebro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Vianes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Casalarreina CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Agoncillo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alfaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anguiano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Berceo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Calahorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cenicero | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pradejón | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San Marcial | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Varea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC La Calzada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Comillas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Calasancio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oyonesa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yagüe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Agoncillo | Haro Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Arnedo | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| San Marcial | 3-4 L | 0-0 D |
| FC La Calzada | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Varea | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Pena Balsamaiso CF | 4-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Autol | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Berceo | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| UD Logrones B | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Oyonesa | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Haro Deportivo (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Agoncillo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | CA Vianes Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Arnedo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | San Marcial Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | FC La Calzada Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Varea Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/04 | Pena Balsamaiso CF Spain Tercera Group 16 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Autol Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Berceo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/03 | UD Logrones B Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/03 | Oyonesa Spain Tercera Group 16 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Haro Deportivo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Arnedo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | San Marcial Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | FC La Calzada Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Varea Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Pena Balsamaiso CF Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Autol Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Berceo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | UD Logrones B Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Oyonesa Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/03 | Pradejón Spain Tercera Group 16 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Haro Deportivo win (39%). Probabilities: Agoncillo 34%, draw 26%, Haro Deportivo 39%.
How many goals are expected in Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Agoncillo 1.46 · Haro Deportivo 1.57), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.