Football · Kuwait Division 1 · 09/08, 19:45

Prediction: Yarmouk vs Burgan SC

Team pages: Yarmouk · Burgan SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Yarmouk1.77
Burgan SC0.69
1X2
63% 23% 14%
Yarmouk Draw Burgan SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Yarmouk 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWWDLDLWWD
Burgan SC 0-4-6 (W-D-L)
LLLDDLLLDD
Head-to-head
Yarmouk 4–2 Burgan SC (6 last)
  • Burgan SC0-1Yarmouk
  • Yarmouk1-2Burgan SC
  • Burgan SC1-3Yarmouk
  • Yarmouk2-1Burgan SC
  • Burgan SC2-3Yarmouk
  • Yarmouk1-2Burgan SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yarmouk 1510 · Burgan SC 1435
YarmoukDrawBurgan SC
Our model62%25%13%
Market64%21%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yarmouk (rating 1510 vs 1435).
  • H2H favours Yarmouk: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

YarmoukBurgan SC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.30.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/67/11%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.81.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.24.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yarmouk 402 Burgan SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/01/26
Kuwait Division 1
Burgan SC0-1
HT 0-1
Yarmouk
04/10/25
Kuwait Division 1
Yarmouk1-2
HT 1-1
Burgan SC
02/04/24
Kuwait Division 1
Burgan SC1-3
HT 1-1
Yarmouk
14/02/24
Kuwait Division 1
Yarmouk2-1
HT 1-0
Burgan SC
05/11/23
Kuwait Division 1
Burgan SC2-3
HT 1-1
Yarmouk
06/03/23
Kuwait Division 1
Yarmouk1-2
HT 0-1
Burgan SC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYarmoukBurgan SC
Khaitan 0-0 D 1-1 D
Al Shamiya FC 3-0 W 2-2 D
Sporty FC 2-1 W 0-1 L
Al Sahel SC 0-1 L 0-0 D
Al-Jazeera KWT 3-3 D 0-2 L
Al Salibikhaet SC 2-2 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 0 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Yarmouk (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yarmouk

LWWDLDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 93 D
02/08 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 3-0 104 W
29/07 Sporty FC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 2-1 82 W
25/07 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-1 35 L
20/02 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
2-1 3-3 24 D
12/02 Al Naser SC
Kuwait Cup
1-1 2-3 34 L
04/02 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 2-2 64 D
22/01 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-0 1-0 62 W
15/01 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
2-1 W
07/01 Al Arabi SC
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
0-0 1-2 56 L

Burgan SC

LLLDDLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 25 D
02/08 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 02 D
29/07 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-2 34 L
25/07 Sporty FC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-1 32 L
27/02 Al Qadsia SC
Kuwait Cup
0-1 0-2 14 L
21/02 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-2 139 D
04/02 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 1-1 29 D
22/01 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-1 62 L
16/01 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 1-3 59 L
10/01 Al Kuwait SC
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
0-1 0-3 02 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yarmouk vs Burgan SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yarmouk win (63%). Probabilities: Yarmouk 63%, draw 23%, Burgan SC 14%.

How many goals are expected in Yarmouk vs Burgan SC?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Yarmouk 1.77 · Burgan SC 0.69), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Yarmouk vs Burgan SC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.