Football · Kuwait Division 1 · 17/08, 19:15

Prediction: Burgan SC vs Al Shamiya FC

Team pages: Burgan SC · Al Shamiya FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Burgan SC1.94
Al Shamiya FC0.88
1X2
62% 22% 16%
Burgan SC Draw Al Shamiya FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Burgan SC 0-5-5 (W-D-L)
LDDLLLDDLD
Al Shamiya FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLDWLLLL
Head-to-head
Burgan SC 1–1–0 Al Shamiya FC (2 last)
  • Al Shamiya FC2-2Burgan SC
  • Burgan SC4-2Al Shamiya FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burgan SC 1439 · Al Shamiya FC 1403
Burgan SCDrawAl Shamiya FC
Our model61%23%15%
Market62%21%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Burgan SCAl Shamiya FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.20.6 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.50.3 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.81.4 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.24.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgan SC 110 Al Shamiya FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Kuwait Division 1
Al Shamiya FC2-2
HT 1-1
Burgan SC
26/10/25
Kuwait Division 1
Burgan SC4-2
HT 3-1
Al Shamiya FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBurgan SCAl Shamiya FC
Khaitan 0-0 D 1-0 W
Yarmouk 1-3 L 0-3 L
Al Salibikhaet SC 0-0 D 0-3 L
Al Sahel SC 0-0 D 0-3 L
Al-Jazeera KWT 0-2 L 0-5 L
Sporty FC 0-1 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Burgan SC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Burgan SC

LDDLLLDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 82 D
11/08 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 1-3 04 L
07/08 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 25 D
02/08 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 02 D
29/07 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-2 34 L
25/07 Sporty FC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-1 32 L
27/02 Al Qadsia SC
Kuwait Cup
0-1 0-2 14 L
21/02 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-2 139 D
04/02 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 1-1 29 D
22/01 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-1 62 L

Al Shamiya FC

LLLLDWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-3 27 L
06/08 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
0-3 0-5 42 L
02/08 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-3 24 L
29/07 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-3 L
25/07 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
1-0 1-0 36 W
21/02 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-2 39 D
26/01 Sporty FC
Kuwait Cup
0-2 1-2 56 L
22/01 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-2 0-4 56 L
15/01 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
1-0 1-2 65 L
30/12 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-6 1-7 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burgan SC vs Al Shamiya FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burgan SC win (62%). Probabilities: Burgan SC 62%, draw 22%, Al Shamiya FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Burgan SC vs Al Shamiya FC?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Burgan SC 1.94 · Al Shamiya FC 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Burgan SC vs Al Shamiya FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.