Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: MFK Vitkovice vs MFK Havirov
Team pages: MFK Vitkovice · MFK Havirov
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
MFK Vitkovice1.73
MFK Havirov1.43
1X2
MFK Vitkovice
Draw
MFK Havirov
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Vitkovice
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
MFK Havirov
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MFK Vitkovice
2–2–1
MFK Havirov
(5 last)
- MFK Vitkovice3-1MFK Havirov
- MFK Havirov4-3MFK Vitkovice
- MFK Vitkovice2-2MFK Havirov
- MFK Havirov2-2MFK Vitkovice
- MFK Havirov0-1MFK Vitkovice
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MFK Vitkovice 1536 · MFK Havirov 1487
| MFK Vitkovice | Draw | MFK Havirov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Vitkovice (rating 1536 vs 1487).
- H2H favours MFK Vitkovice: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MFK Vitkovice | MFK Havirov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.7 | 3.4 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Vitkovice 2–2–1 MFK Havirov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/25 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Vitkovice | 3-1 HT 2-1 | MFK Havirov |
| 03/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Havirov | 4-3 HT 0-2 | MFK Vitkovice |
| 13/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Vitkovice | 2-2 HT 1-0 | MFK Havirov |
| 10/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Havirov | 2-2 HT 2-2 | MFK Vitkovice |
| 05/09/21 Czechia 4. Liga | MFK Havirov | 0-1 HT 0-0 | MFK Vitkovice |
Standings · Czechia 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Artis Brno B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | SK Unicov | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | TJ Unie Hlubina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | CSK Uhersky Brod | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Slovacko II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Trinity Zlin B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Frydek Mistek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | FK Blansko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | SFK Vrchovina | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 11 | MFK Karvina B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | MFK Havirov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Polanka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | FK Hodonin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | SK Hranice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | MFK Vitkovice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Vsetin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Brno II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MFK Vitkovice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 26/07 | SSK Bilovec Czechia Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Trinec Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
MFK Havirov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Vratimov Czechia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MFK Vitkovice vs MFK Havirov?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Vitkovice win (44%). Probabilities: MFK Vitkovice 44%, draw 26%, MFK Havirov 31%.
How many goals are expected in MFK Vitkovice vs MFK Havirov?
The model expects 3.15 goals (MFK Vitkovice 1.73 · MFK Havirov 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in MFK Vitkovice vs MFK Havirov?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.