Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 16/08, 16:30

Prediction: Polanka vs MFK Vitkovice

Team pages: Polanka · MFK Vitkovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Polanka1.46

MFK Vitkovice1.66

1X2

33% 25% 42%

Polanka Draw MFK Vitkovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Polanka 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLDLLW

MFK Vitkovice 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDLWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Polanka 3–1–2 MFK Vitkovice (6 last)

MFK Vitkovice0-3Polanka
Polanka0-3MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice1-0Polanka
Polanka4-4MFK Vitkovice
Polanka2-1MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-5Polanka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polanka 1460 · MFK Vitkovice 1531

	Polanka	Draw	MFK Vitkovice
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	33%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Vitkovice (rating 1460 vs 1531).
H2H favours Polanka: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polanka	MFK Vitkovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	2.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 4	2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:44 +8’	2.70	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polanka 3–1–2 MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	0-3 HT 0-1	Polanka
21/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Polanka	0-3 HT 0-1	MFK Vitkovice
15/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	1-0 HT 0-0	Polanka
11/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Polanka	4-4 HT 2-1	MFK Vitkovice
02/06/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Polanka	2-1 HT 1-0	MFK Vitkovice
28/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	2-5 HT 0-2	Polanka

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TJ Unie Hlubina	2	2	0	0	12	4	6
2	Sigma Olomouc B	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	SK Artis Brno B	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	SK Unicov	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	FC Trinity Zlin B	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
6	Frydek Mistek	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Slovacko II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	CSK Uhersky Brod	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	MFK Karvina B	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	FK Blansko	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Havirov	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	FK Hodonin	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
13	MFK Vitkovice	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
13	SFK Vrchovina	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
15	FC Brno II	2	0	1	1	4	10	1
16	Polanka	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	SK Hranice	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
18	FC Vsetin	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polanka	MFK Vitkovice
FK Hodonin	3-4 L	2-1 W
Slovacko II	0-4 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Vitkovice (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Polanka

DLLLWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Sternberk Czechia Cup	2-0	5-1	8	2	W
09/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	2	4	L
02/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
25/07	SK Stonava Czechia Cup	1-0	1-1	0	8	D
10/06	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
06/06	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
03/06	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	2-4	3-4	3	3	L
31/05	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	5	1	L
24/05	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
20/05	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	2	D

MFK Vitkovice

DDDLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	FK Nove Sady Czechia Cup	1-0	6-0	3	4	W
08/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	3	D
01/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	1-4	2	11	L
26/07	SSK Bilovec Czechia Cup	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
11/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	5-1	12	1	W
06/06	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
17/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
09/05	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polanka vs MFK Vitkovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Vitkovice win (42%). Probabilities: Polanka 33%, draw 25%, MFK Vitkovice 42%.

How many goals are expected in Polanka vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Polanka 1.46 · MFK Vitkovice 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Polanka vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.