Football · Egypt Division 1 · 23/08, 16:00
Prediction: El Gounah vs Modern Sport FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
El Gounah0.89
Modern Sport FC0.93
1X2
El Gounah
Draw
Modern Sport FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
El Gounah
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Modern Sport FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Gounah
2–3–1
Modern Sport FC
(6 last)
- Modern Sport FC0-0El Gounah
- El Gounah1-1Modern Sport FC
- Modern Sport FC0-2El Gounah
- El Gounah0-1Modern Sport FC
- El Gounah0-0Modern Sport FC
- Modern Sport FC2-3El Gounah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · El Gounah 1542 · Modern Sport FC 1461
| El Gounah | Draw | Modern Sport FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 35% | 34% |
| Market | 32% | 34% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours El Gounah (rating 1542 vs 1461).
- H2H favours El Gounah: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Gounah | Modern Sport FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2.7 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Gounah 2–3–1 Modern Sport FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Egypt Division 1 | Modern Sport FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Gounah |
| 06/02/26 Egypt Division 1 | El Gounah | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Modern Sport FC |
| 17/01/26 Egypt League Cup | Modern Sport FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | El Gounah |
| 07/05/25 Egypt Division 1 | El Gounah | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Modern Sport FC |
| 16/04/25 Egypt League Cup | El Gounah | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Modern Sport FC |
| 26/02/25 Egypt Division 1 | Modern Sport FC | 2-3 HT 0-2 | El Gounah |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abo Qir Semad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | El Zamalek | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | ZED FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Al Ahly Cairo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Enppi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | El Masry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Asyut Petroleum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | El Gounah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Qanah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Modern Sport FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Pyramids FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Smouha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Petrojet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Talaea El Geish | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | National Bank | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Gounah | Modern Sport FC |
|---|---|---|
| Petrojet | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Talaea El Geish | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| National Bank | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| ZED FC | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Pharco FC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ismaily SC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: El Gounah (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Gounah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | ZED FC Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/04 | Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Pharco FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Ismaily SC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/04 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Modern Sport FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Pharco FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Ismaily SC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | ZED FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 15 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | El Gounah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Gounah vs Modern Sport FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: El Gounah 31%, draw 35%, Modern Sport FC 34%.
How many goals are expected in El Gounah vs Modern Sport FC?
The model expects 1.82 goals (El Gounah 0.89 · Modern Sport FC 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in El Gounah vs Modern Sport FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.