Football · Egypt Division 1 · 02/09, 16:00
Prediction: El Gounah vs Al Moqawloon Al Arab
Team pages: El Gounah · Al Moqawloon Al Arab
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
El Gounah1.33
Al Moqawloon Al Arab0.7
1X2
El Gounah
Draw
Al Moqawloon Al Arab
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
El Gounah
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Al Moqawloon Al Arab
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Gounah
1–3–2
Al Moqawloon Al Arab
(6 last)
- Al Moqawloon Al Arab1-0El Gounah
- El Gounah1-1Al Moqawloon Al Arab
- Al Moqawloon Al Arab0-1El Gounah
- El Gounah1-2Al Moqawloon Al Arab
- Al Moqawloon Al Arab1-1El Gounah
- Al Moqawloon Al Arab0-0El Gounah
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours El Gounah (rating 1522 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Al Moqawloon Al Arab: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Gounah | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Gounah 1–3–2 Al Moqawloon Al Arab
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Egypt Division 1 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 1-0 HT 0-0 | El Gounah |
| 23/02/26 Egypt Division 1 | El Gounah | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab |
| 18/08/24 Egypt Division 1 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 0-1 HT 0-0 | El Gounah |
| 03/04/24 Egypt Division 1 | El Gounah | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab |
| 15/01/24 Egypt League Cup | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 1-1 HT 0-0 | El Gounah |
| 10/08/22 Egypt Division 1 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Gounah |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Al Ahly Cairo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | El Masry | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Talaea El Geish | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | El Zamalek | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Modern Sport FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Wadi Degla | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Qanah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Abo Qir Semad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | El Gounah | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Asyut Petroleum | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Smouha | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | ZED FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Enppi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 | National Bank | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Gounah | Al Moqawloon Al Arab |
|---|---|---|
| Modern Sport FC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Talaea El Geish | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Kahraba Ismailia | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Haras El Hedoud | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Pharco FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Gounah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Al Qanah Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | ZED FC Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/04 | Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Pharco FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Al Moqawloon Al Arab
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | El Gounah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Pharco FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 28/04 | Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Gounah vs Al Moqawloon Al Arab?
According to our model, the most likely result is a El Gounah win (51%). Probabilities: El Gounah 51%, draw 31%, Al Moqawloon Al Arab 18%.
How many goals are expected in El Gounah vs Al Moqawloon Al Arab?
The model expects 2.02 goals (El Gounah 1.33 · Al Moqawloon Al Arab 0.7), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in El Gounah vs Al Moqawloon Al Arab?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.