Football · Egypt Division 1 · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: Al Ahly Cairo vs Enppi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Al Ahly Cairo1.71
Enppi0.73
1X2
Al Ahly Cairo
Draw
Enppi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Al Ahly Cairo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Enppi
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Ahly Cairo
1–3–2
Enppi
(6 last)
- Al Ahly Cairo3-0Enppi
- Al Ahly Cairo0-1Enppi
- Enppi1-1Al Ahly Cairo
- Al Ahly Cairo0-1Enppi
- Enppi0-0Al Ahly Cairo
- Enppi1-1Al Ahly Cairo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Ahly Cairo 1563 · Enppi 1497
| Al Ahly Cairo | Draw | Enppi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 60% | 26% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahly Cairo (rating 1563 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Enppi: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Ahly Cairo | Enppi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.6 | 1.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ahly Cairo 1–3–2 Enppi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ahly Cairo | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Enppi |
| 12/12/25 Egypt League Cup | Al Ahly Cairo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Enppi |
| 14/09/25 Egypt Division 1 | Enppi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Ahly Cairo |
| 20/03/25 Egypt League Cup | Al Ahly Cairo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Enppi |
| 30/12/24 Egypt Division 1 | Enppi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al Ahly Cairo |
| 14/08/24 Egypt Division 1 | Enppi | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Al Ahly Cairo |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Abo Qir Semad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | El Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Talaea El Geish | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Asyut Petroleum | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Petrojet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | El Zamalek | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | ZED FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Ahly Cairo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Enppi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | El Gounah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Qanah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Modern Sport FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | National Bank | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Smouha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Ahly Cairo | Enppi |
|---|---|---|
| El Masry | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| El Zamalek | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Pyramids FC | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Smouha | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Ceramica Cleopatra | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Ahly Cairo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 09/03 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/03 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/02 | ZED FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 8 | D |
| 23/02 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Enppi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 27/04 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/04 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 07/04 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 11/03 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/03 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/02 | Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Ahly Cairo vs Enppi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ahly Cairo win (60%). Probabilities: Al Ahly Cairo 60%, draw 26%, Enppi 14%.
How many goals are expected in Al Ahly Cairo vs Enppi?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Al Ahly Cairo 1.71 · Enppi 0.73), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Ahly Cairo vs Enppi?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.