Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · 01/11, 11:30

Prediction: Rayo Cantabria vs Atletico Astorga

Team pages: Rayo Cantabria · Atletico Astorga

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Rayo Cantabria2.05
Atletico Astorga1.36
1X2
52% 24% 24%
Rayo Cantabria Draw Atletico Astorga
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Rayo Cantabria 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WWLDLLLLWD
Atletico Astorga 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDLLWLLWLD
Head-to-head
Rayo Cantabria 1–1–0 Atletico Astorga (2 last)
  • Rayo Cantabria3-2Atletico Astorga
  • Atletico Astorga1-1Rayo Cantabria
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rayo Cantabria 1498 · Atletico Astorga 1466
Rayo CantabriaDrawAtletico Astorga
Our model52%23%24%
Market52%24%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Rayo CantabriaAtletico Astorga
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.11.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.81.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.15 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rayo Cantabria 1–1–0 Atletico Astorga

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Rayo Cantabria3-2
HT 1-1
Atletico Astorga
18/10/25
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Atletico Astorga1-1
HT 0-0
Rayo Cantabria

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sestao River 8611 9319
2 Alaves B 8521 211117
3 Bergantinos 8521 191017
4 Eibar B 8521 14617
5 Compostela 8413 11813
6 Amorebieta 8413 10813
7 Ourense 8413 8813
8 Portugalete 8332 9912
9 Real Oviedo B 8323 101411
10 Gernika 8242 15910
11 Basconia 8242 131410
12 Coruxo 8224 8108
13 Atletico Astorga 8215 11127
14 Arosa 8143 12177
15 Marino de Luanco 8215 8137
16 UD Llanera 8215 11197
17 Rayo Cantabria 8125 10175
18 Gimnastica de Torrelavega 8125 7185

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRayo CantabriaAtletico Astorga
Basconia 3-1 W 2-3 L
Amorebieta 0-2 L 0-1 L
Sestao River 0-1 L 0-2 L
SD Sarriana 4-3 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rayo Cantabria (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rayo Cantabria

WWLDLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Alaves B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
2-1 3-3 45 D
17/10 Basconia
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 3-1 78 W
11/10 Real Oviedo B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 1-2 63 L
03/10 Eibar B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 1-5 75 L
27/09 UD Llanera
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
1-1 1-2 56 L
20/09 Amorebieta
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 0-2 45 L
13/09 Coruxo
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 1-1 29 D
06/09 Sestao River
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 0-1 66 L
03/05 SD Sarriana
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
2-1 4-3 25 W
26/04 Real Avila
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
2-0 4-1 55 W

Atletico Astorga

WDLLWLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Gernika
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
1-1 1-1 –– D
17/10 Compostela
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-3 1-4 72 L
10/10 Ourense
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
2-0 4-0 28 W
03/10 Amorebieta
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 0-1 53 L
26/09 Sestao River
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 0-2 28 L
19/09 Marino de Luanco
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 3-0 –– W
13/09 Basconia
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 2-3 25 L
05/09 Portugalete
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 0-1 35 L
03/05 UD Ourense
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 1-1 34 D
26/04 SD Sarriana
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 1-0 48 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rayo Cantabria vs Atletico Astorga?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rayo Cantabria win (52%). Probabilities: Rayo Cantabria 52%, draw 24%, Atletico Astorga 24%.

How many goals are expected in Rayo Cantabria vs Atletico Astorga?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Rayo Cantabria 2.05 · Atletico Astorga 1.36), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rayo Cantabria vs Atletico Astorga?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.