Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · 25/10, 16:30
Prediction: Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo B
Team pages: Marino de Luanco · Real Oviedo B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Marino de Luanco1.44
Real Oviedo B1.51
1X2
Marino de Luanco
Draw
Real Oviedo B
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Marino de Luanco
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Real Oviedo B
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marino de Luanco
2–3–1
Real Oviedo B
(6 last)
- Marino de Luanco1-1Real Oviedo B
- Real Oviedo B1-1Marino de Luanco
- Marino de Luanco1-0Real Oviedo B
- Real Oviedo B1-1Marino de Luanco
- Marino de Luanco1-0Real Oviedo B
- Real Oviedo B3-1Marino de Luanco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marino de Luanco 1478 · Real Oviedo B 1526
| Marino de Luanco | Draw | Real Oviedo B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Oviedo B (rating 1478 vs 1526).
- H2H favours Marino de Luanco: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marino de Luanco | Real Oviedo B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marino de Luanco 2–3–1 Real Oviedo B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | Marino de Luanco | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Real Oviedo B |
| 18/10/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | Real Oviedo B | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Marino de Luanco |
| 31/03/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | Marino de Luanco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real Oviedo B |
| 18/11/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | Real Oviedo B | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Marino de Luanco |
| 07/05/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | Marino de Luanco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real Oviedo B |
| 08/01/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | Real Oviedo B | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Marino de Luanco |
Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Sestao River | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Eibar B | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Portugalete | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Compostela | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Ourense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | Gernika | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Basconia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Coruxo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Arosa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 7 |
| 14 | UD Llanera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletico Astorga | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 16 | Marino de Luanco | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 17 | Gimnastica de Torrelavega | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 5 |
| 18 | Rayo Cantabria | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marino de Luanco | Real Oviedo B |
|---|---|---|
| Sestao River | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Gimnastica de Torrelavega | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Compostela | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Marino de Luanco (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marino de Luanco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sestao River Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | UD Llanera Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 03/10 | Gimnastica de Torrelavega Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 27/09 | Basconia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Atletico Astorga Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Ourense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Compostela Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Numancia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | UD Samano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | SD Sarriana Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Real Oviedo B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Bergantinos Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Rayo Cantabria Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Compostela Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Gimnastica de Torrelavega Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Alaves B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Sestao River Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Eibar B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | UP Langreo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Gimnastica Segoviana Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Bergantinos Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo B?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Oviedo B win (38%). Probabilities: Marino de Luanco 35%, draw 27%, Real Oviedo B 38%.
How many goals are expected in Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo B?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Marino de Luanco 1.44 · Real Oviedo B 1.51), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo B?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.