Football · Austria Landesliga · 08/08, 17:30

Prediction: St Polten II vs ASK Ebreichsdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

St Polten II1.68

ASK Ebreichsdorf2.22

1X2

29% 22% 50%

St Polten II Draw ASK Ebreichsdorf

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

St Polten II 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

DLWDDWDDDD

ASK Ebreichsdorf 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

St Polten II 1–5 ASK Ebreichsdorf (6 last)

St Polten II4-1ASK Ebreichsdorf
ASK Ebreichsdorf6-2St Polten II
St Polten II0-2ASK Ebreichsdorf
ASK Ebreichsdorf4-0St Polten II
St Polten II0-1ASK Ebreichsdorf
ASK Ebreichsdorf2-0St Polten II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St Polten II 1511 · ASK Ebreichsdorf 1528

	St Polten II	Draw	ASK Ebreichsdorf
Our model	29%	22%	50%
Market	29%	21%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ASK Ebreichsdorf: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Polten II	ASK Ebreichsdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	2.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 3	4 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X4.20

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.55 ★
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	2.30 → 1.80▼	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:53 +1’	2.30	4.00	2.30
09:26 +6’	3.10▲	4.20▲	1.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:08	2.96	3.85	1.89
08:44 +6’	3.37▲	4.01▲	1.72▼
12:47 +2’	3.55▲	4.08▲	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · St Polten II 1–0–5 ASK Ebreichsdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Austria Landesliga	St Polten II	4-1 HT 1-0	ASK Ebreichsdorf
29/08/25 Austria Landesliga	ASK Ebreichsdorf	6-2 HT 2-1	St Polten II
31/05/19 Austria Regionalliga Ost	St Polten II	0-2 HT 0-1	ASK Ebreichsdorf
31/10/18 Austria Regionalliga Ost	ASK Ebreichsdorf	4-0 HT 2-0	St Polten II
02/04/18 Austria Regionalliga Ost	St Polten II	0-1 HT 0-0	ASK Ebreichsdorf
15/09/17 Austria Regionalliga Ost	ASK Ebreichsdorf	2-0 HT 1-0	St Polten II

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Polten II	ASK Ebreichsdorf
ASK Bau Pochhacker Ybbs	2-2 D	4-1 W
SC Zwettl	2-0 W	5-3 W
SG Ardagger/Neustadtl	2-2 D	0-1 L
St. Peter/Au	0-0 D	3-2 W
SC Wieselburg	2-0 W	3-1 W
Admira Wacker Modling II	1-3 L	0-3 L
Stockerau	2-2 D	5-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ASK Ebreichsdorf (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

St Polten II

DLWDDWDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	SV Donau Europe Friendlies	2-2	2-2	1	2	D
12/06	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Landesliga	2-3	4-4	5	1	D
05/06	SC Korneuburg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/05	ASK Bau Pochhacker Ybbs Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/05	SC Zwettl Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/05	SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
09/05	St. Peter/Au Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	SC Wieselburg Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/04	Admira Wacker Modling II Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
17/04	Stockerau Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D

ASK Ebreichsdorf

WLLWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/06	ASK Bau Pochhacker Ybbs Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
05/06	SC Zwettl Austria Landesliga	2-2	5-3	10	2	W
29/05	SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/05	St. Peter/Au Austria Landesliga	3-0	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	SC Wieselburg Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
08/05	Admira Wacker Modling II Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
04/05	Stockerau Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-2	5	2	W
24/04	Wiener Neustadt Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
17/04	ASV Schrems Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
10/04	SCU Kilb Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Polten II vs ASK Ebreichsdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ASK Ebreichsdorf win (50%). Probabilities: St Polten II 29%, draw 22%, ASK Ebreichsdorf 50%.

How many goals are expected in St Polten II vs ASK Ebreichsdorf?

The model expects 3.9 goals (St Polten II 1.68 · ASK Ebreichsdorf 2.22), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in St Polten II vs ASK Ebreichsdorf?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.