Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 05/09, 16:30
Prediction: Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Tosk Tesanj
Team pages: Sloboda Tuzla · NK Tosk Tesanj
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Sloboda Tuzla1.62
NK Tosk Tesanj0.72
1X2
Sloboda Tuzla
Draw
NK Tosk Tesanj
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sloboda Tuzla
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
NK Tosk Tesanj
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sloboda Tuzla
3–1
NK Tosk Tesanj
(4 last)
- Sloboda Tuzla2-0NK Tosk Tesanj
- NK Tosk Tesanj1-0Sloboda Tuzla
- NK Tosk Tesanj0-1Sloboda Tuzla
- Sloboda Tuzla2-0NK Tosk Tesanj
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sloboda Tuzla 1540 · NK Tosk Tesanj 1470
| Sloboda Tuzla | Draw | NK Tosk Tesanj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 27% | 15% |
| Market | 59% | 25% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sloboda Tuzla (rating 1540 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Sloboda Tuzla: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sloboda Tuzla | NK Tosk Tesanj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 63/25/13% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sloboda Tuzla 3–0–1 NK Tosk Tesanj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Sloboda Tuzla | 2-0 HT 2-0 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
| 16/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sloboda Tuzla |
| 01/06/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 0-1 | Sloboda Tuzla |
| 11/11/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Sloboda Tuzla | 2-0 HT 2-0 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Potkozarje Aleksandrovac | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Romanija Pale | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | FK Drina Zvornik | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Leotar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Slavija Sarajevo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Sutjeska Foca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Zvijezda 09 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | FK Majevica Lopare | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FK Omarska | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| 14 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sloboda Tuzla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
NK Tosk Tesanj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | FK Tuzla City Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Tosk Tesanj?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sloboda Tuzla win (58%). Probabilities: Sloboda Tuzla 58%, draw 26%, NK Tosk Tesanj 16%.
How many goals are expected in Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Tosk Tesanj?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Sloboda Tuzla 1.62 · NK Tosk Tesanj 0.72), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Tosk Tesanj?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.