Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/08, 19:00

Prediction: FC Karlovy Vary vs Sokol Hostoun

Team pages: FC Karlovy Vary

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

FC Karlovy Vary1.72

Sokol Hostoun1.57

1X2

41% 25% 34%

FC Karlovy Vary Draw Sokol Hostoun

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Karlovy Vary 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Sokol Hostoun 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Karlovy Vary 2–2–2 Sokol Hostoun (6 last)

FC Karlovy Vary6-2Sokol Hostoun
Sokol Hostoun2-0FC Karlovy Vary
Sokol Hostoun1-1FC Karlovy Vary
FC Karlovy Vary2-3Sokol Hostoun
Sokol Hostoun0-2FC Karlovy Vary
FC Karlovy Vary0-0Sokol Hostoun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Karlovy Vary 1562 · Sokol Hostoun 1526

	FC Karlovy Vary	Draw	Sokol Hostoun
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Karlovy Vary	Sokol Hostoun
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.7	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.5	3.3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:35 +18’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Karlovy Vary 2–2–2 Sokol Hostoun

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Karlovy Vary	6-2 HT 5-1	Sokol Hostoun
24/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Sokol Hostoun	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Karlovy Vary
01/04/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Sokol Hostoun	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Karlovy Vary
03/09/22 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Karlovy Vary	2-3 HT 1-1	Sokol Hostoun
13/03/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Sokol Hostoun	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Karlovy Vary
01/08/21 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Karlovy Vary	0-0 HT 0-0	Sokol Hostoun

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hlucin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Bohumin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Karlovy Vary

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Chomutov Czechia Cup	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
13/06	FC Predni Kopanina Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	6-0	10	0	W
06/06	FK Olympie Brezova Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	7-0	11	0	W
02/06	Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	5	7	W
29/05	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	4-3	2	6	W
22/05	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	4	2	D
16/05	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
08/05	FK Louny Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	3-2	4	3	W
25/04	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
18/04	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-5	5	1	L

Sokol Hostoun

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia Cup	0-0	2-0	16	3	W
24/07	Sparta Prague B Club Friendly List	0-0	2-1	3	0	W
06/06	FC Silon Taborsko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/05	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
24/05	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	8	7	L
15/05	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	7	5	D
10/05	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
06/05	Ceske Budejovice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
01/05	SK Kladno Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
25/04	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Karlovy Vary vs Sokol Hostoun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Karlovy Vary win (41%). Probabilities: FC Karlovy Vary 41%, draw 25%, Sokol Hostoun 34%.

How many goals are expected in FC Karlovy Vary vs Sokol Hostoun?

The model expects 3.29 goals (FC Karlovy Vary 1.72 · Sokol Hostoun 1.57), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Karlovy Vary vs Sokol Hostoun?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.