Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/08, 18:00

Prediction: Hlucin vs FK Bohumin

Team pages: Hlucin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

Hlucin2.05

FK Bohumin1.91

1X2

41% 24% 35%

Hlucin Draw FK Bohumin

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hlucin 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWWWL

FK Bohumin 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Hlucin 4–1 FK Bohumin (5 last)

FK Bohumin0-3Hlucin
FK Bohumin1-7Hlucin
FK Bohumin0-4Hlucin
FK Bohumin2-5Hlucin
FK Bohumin2-0Hlucin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hlucin 1491 · FK Bohumin 1556

	Hlucin	Draw	FK Bohumin
Our model	42%	22%	36%
Market	40%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Bohumin (rating 1491 vs 1556).
H2H favours Hlucin: 4-0-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hlucin	FK Bohumin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	3.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	1.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.6	1.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:32 +19’	2.25	3.50	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hlucin 4–0–1 FK Bohumin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/08/22 Czechia Cup	FK Bohumin	0-3 HT 0-2	Hlucin
04/06/21 Europe Friendlies	FK Bohumin	1-7 HT 0-3	Hlucin
10/06/20 Europe Friendlies	FK Bohumin	0-4 HT 0-0	Hlucin
10/07/19 Europe Friendlies	FK Bohumin	2-5 HT 1-2	Hlucin
28/07/18 Czechia Cup	FK Bohumin	2-0 HT 2-0	Hlucin

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hlucin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Bohumin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hlucin

LWLDLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Bridlicna Czechia Cup	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
12/06	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
04/06	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
31/05	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	6-1	9	3	W
24/05	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
20/05	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
17/05	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	8	9	D
08/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	1-6	4	6	L
02/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	11	7	W
29/04	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	4	L

FK Bohumin

WDLLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Kravare Czechia Cup	3-1	6-1	5	2	W
12/06	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-3	6	4	W
07/06	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	3-2	6-3	–	–	W
31/05	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
17/05	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	5	6	W
10/05	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
03/05	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
26/04	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
19/04	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	5-1	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hlucin vs FK Bohumin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hlucin win (41%). Probabilities: Hlucin 41%, draw 24%, FK Bohumin 35%.

How many goals are expected in Hlucin vs FK Bohumin?

The model expects 3.96 goals (Hlucin 2.05 · FK Bohumin 1.91), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hlucin vs FK Bohumin?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.