Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/08, 17:30

Prediction: Velke Mezirici vs AFC Humpolec

Team pages: Velke Mezirici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Velke Mezirici2

AFC Humpolec1.47

1X2

49% 24% 28%

Velke Mezirici Draw AFC Humpolec

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Velke Mezirici 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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AFC Humpolec 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Velke Mezirici 4–1–1 AFC Humpolec (6 last)

AFC Humpolec1-2Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici2-1AFC Humpolec
AFC Humpolec2-3Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici1-0AFC Humpolec
Velke Mezirici0-0AFC Humpolec
AFC Humpolec2-0Velke Mezirici

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Velke Mezirici 1521 · AFC Humpolec 1482

	Velke Mezirici	Draw	AFC Humpolec
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Velke Mezirici: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Velke Mezirici	AFC Humpolec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.9	2 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:45 +4’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Velke Mezirici 4–1–1 AFC Humpolec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	1-2 HT 1-0	Velke Mezirici
26/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	2-1 HT 1-1	AFC Humpolec
07/06/25 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	2-3 HT 0-2	Velke Mezirici
03/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	1-0 HT 0-0	AFC Humpolec
12/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	0-0 HT 0-0	AFC Humpolec
08/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	2-0 HT 1-0	Velke Mezirici

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hlucin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Bohumin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Velke Mezirici	AFC Humpolec
FS Trebic	1-3 L	1-1 D
TJ Tatran Bohunice	2-1 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Velke Mezirici

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	FC Chotebor Czechia Cup	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
13/06	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	7	1	L
05/06	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
24/05	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	3	5	W
16/05	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
08/05	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	10	4	W
01/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
26/04	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
17/04	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	4	3	D

AFC Humpolec

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia Cup	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
13/06	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
05/06	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	1-5	2	4	L
30/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
16/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
10/05	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
03/05	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	3	1	L
19/04	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Velke Mezirici vs AFC Humpolec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Velke Mezirici win (49%). Probabilities: Velke Mezirici 49%, draw 24%, AFC Humpolec 28%.

How many goals are expected in Velke Mezirici vs AFC Humpolec?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Velke Mezirici 2 · AFC Humpolec 1.47), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Velke Mezirici vs AFC Humpolec?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.