Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/08, 17:30

Prediction: FC Rokycany vs FC Milevsko

Team pages: FC Rokycany

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

FC Rokycany1.71

FC Milevsko1.18

1X2

49% 25% 26%

FC Rokycany Draw FC Milevsko

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Rokycany 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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FC Milevsko 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Rokycany 1–1–0 FC Milevsko (2 last)

FC Milevsko0-0FC Rokycany
FC Rokycany2-1FC Milevsko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Rokycany 1500 · FC Milevsko 1457

	FC Rokycany	Draw	FC Milevsko
Our model	49%	26%	25%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Rokycany (rating 1500 vs 1457).
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Rokycany	FC Milevsko
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.3	0 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.5	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.80

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:36 +14’	1.80	3.80	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Rokycany 1–1–0 FC Milevsko

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Milevsko	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Rokycany
09/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Rokycany	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Milevsko

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hlucin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vratimov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SSK Bilovec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Bohumin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frydek Mistek B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Novy Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Sumperk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kravare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Opava B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pusta Polom	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jiskra Rymarov	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Stonava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Zabreh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bridlicna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TJ Valasske Mezirici	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Rokycany	FC Milevsko
Spartak Sobeslav	2-3 L	1-2 L
Jiskra Domazlice B	4-0 W	0-4 L
TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	0-2 L	3-6 L
FC Krimice	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Rokycany (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Rokycany

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FK Horovicko Czechia Cup	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
12/06	Spartak Sobeslav Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	9	3	L
06/06	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
30/05	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
23/05	Benesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
16/05	SK Petrin Plzen B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/05	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
01/05	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	1	2	L
25/04	Povltavska FA Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
22/04	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

FC Milevsko

LLLWWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	SK Strakonice Czechia Cup	1-1	1-2	1	2	L
13/06	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	3-5	7	2	L
07/06	TJ Prestice B Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	5-2	–	–	W
30/05	TJ Milin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
09/05	FK Tachov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Spartak Sobeslav Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
19/04	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-6	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Rokycany vs FC Milevsko?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Rokycany win (49%). Probabilities: FC Rokycany 49%, draw 25%, FC Milevsko 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Rokycany vs FC Milevsko?

The model expects 2.88 goals (FC Rokycany 1.71 · FC Milevsko 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Rokycany vs FC Milevsko?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.