Football · Panama Liga Prom · 07/08, 03:00

Prediction: Champions FC Academy vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Team pages: Champions FC Academy · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Champions FC Academy1.23

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.9

1X2

24% 25% 52%

Champions FC Academy Draw Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Champions FC Academy 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDLWLL

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Champions FC Academy 2–4 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves (6 last)

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-2Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy1-0Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves3-2Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy1-2Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Champions FC Academy0-3Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-0Champions FC Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Champions FC Academy 1488 · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1453

	Champions FC Academy	Draw	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Our model	24%	24%	52%
Market	23%	25%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sporting San Miguelito Reserves: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Champions FC Academy	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.6	1.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/43/57%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 4	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.60

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +10’	3.80	3.60	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Champions FC Academy 2–0–4 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-2 HT 1-0	Champions FC Academy
17/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	1-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
02/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	3-2 HT 2-1	Champions FC Academy
19/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	1-2 HT 1-1	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
26/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	0-3 HT 0-1	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
31/01/25 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Champions FC Academy

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panama City FC	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
2	Academia Costa Del Este	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
4	UMECIT Reserves	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
5	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
6	Champions FC Academy	2	0	0	2	0	3	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Champions FC Academy	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Panama City FC	0-2 L	0-2 L
Academia Costa Del Este	0-1 L	0-2 L
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-2 L	1-0 W
UMECIT Reserves	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Champions FC Academy (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Champions FC Academy

WWLWLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
24/07	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
30/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
25/04	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-3	0-9	5	8	L
18/04	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
11/04	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
02/04	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-1	5	9	W
27/03	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-6	–	–	L
21/03	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-1	–	–	W
14/03	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	–	4-3	–	–	W

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

LDWLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/07	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
30/04	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
25/04	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-3	1-4	2	5	L
16/04	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	2	10	L
12/04	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-5	14	4	L
02/04	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
26/03	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	3-0	5-2	3	7	W
20/03	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	7	10	D
11/03	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Champions FC Academy vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sporting San Miguelito Reserves win (52%). Probabilities: Champions FC Academy 24%, draw 25%, Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 52%.

How many goals are expected in Champions FC Academy vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Champions FC Academy 1.23 · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.9), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Champions FC Academy vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.