Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women · 24/10, 19:00
Prediction: Braga (W) vs Torreense (W)
Team pages: Braga (W) · Torreense (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Braga (W)1.37
Torreense (W)1.37
1X2
Braga (W)
Draw
Torreense (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Braga (W)
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Torreense (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Braga (W)
3–1–2
Torreense (W)
(6 last)
- Braga (W)1-1Torreense (W)
- Torreense (W)2-5Braga (W)
- Braga (W)0-2Torreense (W)
- Torreense (W)3-0Braga (W)
- Torreense (W)0-2Braga (W)
- Braga (W)4-1Torreense (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braga (W) 1522 · Torreense (W) 1598
| Braga (W) | Draw | Torreense (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torreense (W) (rating 1522 vs 1598).
- H2H favours Braga (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Braga (W) | Torreense (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.2 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Braga (W) 3–1–2 Torreense (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Braga (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Torreense (W) |
| 12/10/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Torreense (W) | 2-5 HT 0-3 | Braga (W) |
| 27/04/25 Portugal Cup Women | Braga (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Torreense (W) |
| 19/04/25 Portugal Cup Women | Torreense (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Braga (W) |
| 01/02/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Torreense (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Braga (W) |
| 27/09/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Braga (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Torreense (W) |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Torreense (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Benfica (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Braga (W) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Porto (W) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Racing Power (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Rio Ave (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 9 | Guimaraes (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 | Maritimo (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Braga (W) | Torreense (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Power (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Sporting (W) | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Maritimo (W) | 5-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Guimaraes (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Benfica (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Rio Ave (W) | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Torreense (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braga (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Racing Power (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 21/09 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | Maritimo (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Guimaraes (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Racing Power (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Rio Ave (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Torreense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Torreense (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Maritimo (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 8-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Guimaraes (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Rio Ave (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | SF Damaiense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Guimaraes (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Racing Power (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Braga (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braga (W) vs Torreense (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Braga (W) win (36%). Probabilities: Braga (W) 36%, draw 28%, Torreense (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Braga (W) vs Torreense (W)?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Braga (W) 1.37 · Torreense (W) 1.37), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Braga (W) vs Torreense (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.