Football · England FA WSL 2 · 06/09, 15:00
Prediction: Sunderland (W) vs Bristol City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Sunderland (W)1.12
Bristol City (W)1.87
1X2
Sunderland (W)
Draw
Bristol City (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sunderland (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Bristol City (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sunderland (W)
2–4
Bristol City (W)
(6 last)
- Bristol City (W)3-0Sunderland (W)
- Sunderland (W)2-4Bristol City (W)
- Bristol City (W)2-3Sunderland (W)
- Sunderland (W)4-3Bristol City (W)
- Sunderland (W)0-5Bristol City (W)
- Bristol City (W)1-0Sunderland (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sunderland (W) 1467 · Bristol City (W) 1504
| Sunderland (W) | Draw | Bristol City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bristol City (W): 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunderland (W) | Bristol City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunderland (W) 2–0–4 Bristol City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 England FA WSL 2 | Bristol City (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sunderland (W) |
| 02/11/25 England FA WSL 2 | Sunderland (W) | 2-4 HT 2-3 | Bristol City (W) |
| 27/04/25 England Championship Women | Bristol City (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Sunderland (W) |
| 03/11/24 England Championship Women | Sunderland (W) | 4-3 HT 1-2 | Bristol City (W) |
| 16/04/23 England Championship Women | Sunderland (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Bristol City (W) |
| 18/09/22 England Championship Women | Bristol City (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sunderland (W) |
Standings · England FA WSL 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burnley (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Watford (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Bristol City (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Durham (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ipswich Town (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Leicester (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Newcastle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nottm Forest (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sheff Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Southampton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sunderland (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunderland (W) | Bristol City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Crystal Palace (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Birmingham (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Newcastle (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Portsmouth (W) | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Sheff Utd (W) | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Charlton (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Durham (W) | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bristol City (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunderland (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Ipswich Town (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Crystal Palace (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/04 | Birmingham (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Newcastle (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Portsmouth (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 18/03 | Sheff Utd (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/03 | Charlton (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/03 | Nottm Forest (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/02 | Durham (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/01 | Bristol City (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Bristol City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Sheff Utd (W) England FA WSL 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Newcastle (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Durham (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 29/03 | Birmingham (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Charlton (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Portsmouth (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/02 | Southampton (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/02 | Crystal Palace (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/01 | Sunderland (W) England FA WSL 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/01 | Ipswich Town (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunderland (W) vs Bristol City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bristol City (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Sunderland (W) 22%, draw 24%, Bristol City (W) 54%.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland (W) vs Bristol City (W)?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Sunderland (W) 1.12 · Bristol City (W) 1.87), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunderland (W) vs Bristol City (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.