Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: FC Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau

Team pages: FC Balti · Zimbru Chisinau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

FC Balti0.68

Zimbru Chisinau2.68

1X2

5% 11% 84%

FC Balti Draw Zimbru Chisinau

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

FC Balti 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLLLDL

Zimbru Chisinau 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDDWLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Balti 0–1–5 Zimbru Chisinau (6 last)

Zimbru Chisinau3-0FC Balti
Zimbru Chisinau4-1FC Balti
FC Balti0-2Zimbru Chisinau
FC Balti1-3Zimbru Chisinau
Zimbru Chisinau2-0FC Balti
FC Balti1-1Zimbru Chisinau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Balti 1393 · Zimbru Chisinau 1557

	FC Balti	Draw	Zimbru Chisinau
Our model	6%	15%	79%
Market	4%	9%	88%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zimbru Chisinau (rating 1393 vs 1557).
H2H favours Zimbru Chisinau: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Balti	Zimbru Chisinau
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.5	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.7	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

126.00

X11.00

21.07

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3)1.82

2 (-3)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	26.00 → 41.00▲	Bet365 41.00
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.07 → 1.05▼	Bet365 1.05

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:08 +4’	26.00	11.00	1.07
02:05 +28’	41.00▲	11.00	1.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Balti 0–1–5 Zimbru Chisinau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Zimbru Chisinau	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Balti
02/05/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Zimbru Chisinau	4-1 HT 2-1	FC Balti
21/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Balti	0-2 HT 0-0	Zimbru Chisinau
09/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Balti	1-3 HT 0-0	Zimbru Chisinau
13/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Zimbru Chisinau	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Balti
19/07/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Balti	1-1 HT 0-0	Zimbru Chisinau

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	8	5	3	0	17	6	18
2	CS Petrocub	8	4	2	2	16	9	14
3	Zimbru Chisinau	8	4	2	2	17	9	14
4	Dacia Buiucani	8	4	0	4	12	14	12
5	FC Politehnica Chisinau	8	3	2	3	15	11	11
6	FC Milsami	8	1	4	3	7	14	7
7	FC Real Sireti	8	0	5	3	6	13	5
8	FC Balti	8	1	2	5	8	22	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Balti	Zimbru Chisinau
FC Politehnica Chisinau	0-6 L	2-0 W
FC Real Sireti	1-1 D	1-1 D
Sheriff Tiraspol	1-5 L	2-4 L
Dacia Buiucani	1-4 L	4-0 W
FC Milsami	1-2 L	4-2 W
CS Petrocub	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zimbru Chisinau (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Balti

LDWLDLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-5	0-6	0	2	L
08/08	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-3	1-5	–	–	L
25/07	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-4	3	7	L
19/07	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
11/07	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
05/07	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-3	2	6	L
27/06	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/05	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/05	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-3	3	4	L

Zimbru Chisinau

DWLDDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	4-2	5	10	W
09/08	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-2	8	8	L
02/08	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	3-0	4-0	5	4	W
30/07	FC Noah UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
26/07	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
23/07	FC Noah UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
18/07	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
12/07	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-2	2-4	8	3	L
05/07	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	3	6	W
27/06	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zimbru Chisinau win (84%). Probabilities: FC Balti 5%, draw 11%, Zimbru Chisinau 84%.

How many goals are expected in FC Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau?

The model expects 3.37 goals (FC Balti 0.68 · Zimbru Chisinau 2.68), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.