Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 22/08, 19:00

Prediction: FC Milsami vs CS Petrocub

Team pages: FC Milsami · CS Petrocub

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

FC Milsami1.06

CS Petrocub1.68

1X2

23% 26% 51%

FC Milsami Draw CS Petrocub

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Milsami 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLLWDDDL

CS Petrocub 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDDWWL

Head-to-head

FC Milsami 0–1–5 CS Petrocub (6 last)

CS Petrocub5-0FC Milsami
FC Milsami0-3CS Petrocub
CS Petrocub2-0FC Milsami
FC Milsami1-2CS Petrocub
FC Milsami1-1CS Petrocub
CS Petrocub2-1FC Milsami

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Milsami 1428 · CS Petrocub 1533

	FC Milsami	Draw	CS Petrocub
Our model	23%	27%	51%
Market	24%	25%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Petrocub (rating 1428 vs 1533).
H2H favours CS Petrocub: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Milsami	CS Petrocub
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.60

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:39 +3’	3.80	3.60	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Milsami 0–1–5 CS Petrocub

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	CS Petrocub	5-0 HT 2-0	FC Milsami
02/05/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Milsami	0-3 HT 0-0	CS Petrocub
21/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	CS Petrocub	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Milsami
02/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Milsami	1-2 HT 0-1	CS Petrocub
24/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Milsami	1-1 HT 1-0	CS Petrocub
31/08/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	CS Petrocub	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Milsami

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	8	5	3	0	17	6	18
2	CS Petrocub	8	4	2	2	16	9	14
3	Zimbru Chisinau	8	4	2	2	17	9	14
4	Dacia Buiucani	8	4	0	4	12	14	12
5	FC Politehnica Chisinau	8	3	2	3	15	11	11
6	FC Milsami	8	1	4	3	7	14	7
7	FC Real Sireti	8	0	5	3	6	13	5
8	FC Balti	8	1	2	5	8	22	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Milsami	CS Petrocub
Zimbru Chisinau	2-4 L	2-1 W
FC Politehnica Chisinau	1-1 D	3-1 W
FC Real Sireti	2-2 D	0-0 D
Sheriff Tiraspol	0-0 D	2-3 L
FC Balti	2-1 W	1-1 D
Dacia Buiucani	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Milsami

DLDLLWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	2-4	2	10	L
08/08	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
01/08	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-2	9	4	D
26/07	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
19/07	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
16/07	Velez Mostar UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
12/07	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-1	6	9	L
09/07	Velez Mostar UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
04/07	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-2	0-5	8	4	L
27/06	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

CS Petrocub

DDLLLDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-2	6	8	L
09/08	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
02/08	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-1	0	1	W
30/07	Borac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League Qualifying	2-0	3-3	5	2	D
26/07	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
23/07	Borac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
19/07	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	2-3	5	4	L
15/07	FK Egnatia UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-3	1-6	5	5	L
11/07	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
08/07	FK Egnatia UEFA Champions League Qualifying	1-1	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Milsami vs CS Petrocub?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Petrocub win (51%). Probabilities: FC Milsami 23%, draw 26%, CS Petrocub 51%.

How many goals are expected in FC Milsami vs CS Petrocub?

The model expects 2.74 goals (FC Milsami 1.06 · CS Petrocub 1.68), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Milsami vs CS Petrocub?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.