Prediction: Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Team pages: Hapoel Rishon Lezion
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | Draw | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Kiryat Gat (rating 1396 vs 1609).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.8 | 2.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Standings · Israel League Cup · League Cup, National 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | MS Ashdod | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 4 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel League Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | SK Kladno Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 2-6 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/02 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/02 | Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 31/01 | Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/01 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 16/01 | Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/01 | AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/01 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/01 | Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South |
3-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 19/12 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Rishon Lezion win (50%). Probabilities: Hapoel Rishon Lezion 50%, draw 25%, Maccabi Kiryat Gat 25%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1.86 · Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1.28), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.