Football · Qatar Stars League · 12/09, 18:15

Prediction: Al Duhail vs Al-Shahaniya SC

Team pages: Al Duhail · Al-Shahaniya SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Al Duhail1.99

Al-Shahaniya SC1.03

1X2

59% 22% 18%

Al Duhail Draw Al-Shahaniya SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Duhail 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLWWDD

Al-Shahaniya SC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWDLWL

Head-to-head

Al Duhail 1–3–2 Al-Shahaniya SC (6 last)

Al-Shahaniya SC0-0Al Duhail
Al-Shahaniya SC2-0Al Duhail
Al Duhail1-1Al-Shahaniya SC
Al Duhail2-1Al-Shahaniya SC
Al Duhail1-1Al-Shahaniya SC
Al-Shahaniya SC2-1Al Duhail

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Duhail 1537 · Al-Shahaniya SC 1482

	Al Duhail	Draw	Al-Shahaniya SC
Our model	59%	23%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Duhail (rating 1537 vs 1482).
H2H favours Al-Shahaniya SC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Duhail	Al-Shahaniya SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	1.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.55
X	4.33 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	6.00 → 4.75▼	Pinn 5.47 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:47 +2’	1.40	4.33	6.00
08:45 +4’	1.50▲	4.20▼	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:14 +35’	1.54	3.97	5.37
09:18 +37’	1.55▲	4.03▲	5.47▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Duhail 1–3–2 Al-Shahaniya SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/01/26 Qatar Stars League	Al-Shahaniya SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Duhail
14/12/25 Qatar Stars Cup	Al-Shahaniya SC	2-0 HT 1-0	Al Duhail
16/08/25 Qatar Stars League	Al Duhail	1-1 HT 0-1	Al-Shahaniya SC
28/02/25 Qatar Stars League	Al Duhail	2-1 HT 0-0	Al-Shahaniya SC
10/11/24 Qatar Stars Cup	Al Duhail	1-1 HT 1-0	Al-Shahaniya SC
27/09/24 Qatar Stars League	Al-Shahaniya SC	2-1 HT 2-0	Al Duhail

Standings · Qatar Stars League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Sadd	3	3	0	0	13	4	9
2	Al-Shamal SC	3	2	1	0	9	5	7
3	Al-Rayyan SC	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
4	Al-Arabi Doha	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
5	Al Duhail	3	1	2	0	4	2	5
6	Lusail	3	1	1	1	7	4	4
7	Al-Ahli Doha	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
8	Al-Shahaniya SC	3	1	0	2	6	8	3
9	Al Gharafa	3	1	0	2	4	8	3
10	Qatar SC Doha	3	0	1	2	4	9	1
11	Al-Wakrah SC	3	0	1	2	3	8	1
12	Al Sailiya SC	3	0	0	3	2	7	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Duhail	Al-Shahaniya SC
Al-Rayyan SC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Al-Arabi Doha	1-1 D	0-2 L
Al Sailiya SC	2-0 W	3-2 W
Qatar SC Doha	2-1 W	3-4 L
Al-Ahli Doha	1-2 L	2-1 W
Al Gharafa	3-2 W	1-2 L
Al-Shamal SC	3-1 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Al Duhail (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Duhail

DLWWWLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
29/08	Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
22/08	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
27/04	Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
08/04	Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
04/04	Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League	2-2	3-2	3	5	W
17/03	Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League	0-1	3-1	8	5	W
12/03	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
26/02	Al Sadd Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-3	4	2	L
21/02	Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-1	3	6	D

Al-Shahaniya SC

LWWLLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League	1-1	2-4	6	7	L
29/08	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	2-0	3-2	8	1	W
21/08	Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
27/04	Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
08/04	Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
03/04	Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
18/03	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	0-2	2-3	6	15	L
13/03	Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
27/02	Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
20/02	Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League	2-0	3-4	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Duhail vs Al-Shahaniya SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Duhail win (59%). Probabilities: Al Duhail 59%, draw 22%, Al-Shahaniya SC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Al Duhail vs Al-Shahaniya SC?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Al Duhail 1.99 · Al-Shahaniya SC 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Duhail vs Al-Shahaniya SC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.