Prediction: Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa
Team pages: Al Sadd · Al Gharafa
- Al Sadd2-1Al Gharafa
- Al Gharafa4-1Al Sadd
- Al Gharafa1-3Al Sadd
- Al Gharafa3-3Al Sadd
- Al Sadd2-0Al Gharafa
- Al Gharafa2-2Al Sadd
| Al Sadd | Draw | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| Market | 63% | 19% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Sadd (rating 1613 vs 1454).
- H2H favours Al Sadd: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Sadd | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Sadd 3–2–1 Al Gharafa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 Qatar Cup | Al Sadd | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Al Gharafa |
| 09/05/26 Qatar Emir Cup | Al Gharafa | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Al Sadd |
| 31/01/26 Qatar Stars League | Al Gharafa | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Al Sadd |
| 01/09/25 Qatar Stars Cup | Al Gharafa | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Al Sadd |
| 28/08/25 Qatar Stars League | Al Sadd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Al Gharafa |
| 14/05/25 Qatar Emir Cup | Al Gharafa | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Al Sadd |
Standings · Qatar Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Shamal SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Al Sadd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Al-Rayyan SC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Al-Arabi Doha | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | Lusail | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Al Duhail | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Al-Ahli Doha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Gharafa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Al-Shahaniya SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | Qatar SC Doha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 11 | Al-Wakrah SC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Sadd | Al Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Qatar SC Doha | 6-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Al-Ahli Doha | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Al-Shamal SC | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Al Sailiya SC | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Al Duhail | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Al-Wakrah SC | 3-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Al-Shahaniya SC | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Sadd (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Sadd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League |
3-0 | 6-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/04 | Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 17/03 | Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/03 | Umm Salal Qatar Stars League |
1-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/02 | Al Duhail Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/02 | Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Al Gharafa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/04 | Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Al Duhail Qatar Stars League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/03 | Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/03 | Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 26/02 | Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 22/02 | Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/02 | Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Sadd win (63%). Probabilities: Al Sadd 63%, draw 19%, Al Gharafa 18%.
How many goals are expected in Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Al Sadd 2.57 · Al Gharafa 1.37), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.