Football · Qatar Stars League · 09/10, 19:00
Prediction: Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi Doha
Team pages: Al Sadd · Al-Arabi Doha
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
Al Sadd2.4
Al-Arabi Doha1.53
1X2
Al Sadd
Draw
Al-Arabi Doha
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Sadd
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Al-Arabi Doha
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Sadd
2–1–3
Al-Arabi Doha
(6 last)
- Al-Arabi Doha2-1Al Sadd
- Al-Arabi Doha5-0Al Sadd
- Al Sadd1-3Al-Arabi Doha
- Al-Arabi Doha1-3Al Sadd
- Al Sadd5-0Al-Arabi Doha
- Al-Arabi Doha2-2Al Sadd
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Sadd (rating 1563 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Al-Arabi Doha: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Sadd | Al-Arabi Doha | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 3.9 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Sadd 2–1–3 Al-Arabi Doha
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Qatar Stars League | Al-Arabi Doha | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Al Sadd |
| 19/01/26 Qatar Stars Cup | Al-Arabi Doha | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Al Sadd |
| 25/10/25 Qatar Stars League | Al Sadd | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Al-Arabi Doha |
| 30/01/25 Qatar Stars League | Al-Arabi Doha | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Al Sadd |
| 22/08/24 Qatar Stars League | Al Sadd | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Al-Arabi Doha |
| 10/03/24 Qatar Stars League | Al-Arabi Doha | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Al Sadd |
Standings · Qatar Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Sadd | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Al-Rayyan SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Al-Shamal SC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 4 | Al-Arabi Doha | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Al Duhail | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Lusail | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Al-Shahaniya SC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 8 | Al-Ahli Doha | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 9 | Al Gharafa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Al-Wakrah SC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 10 | Qatar SC Doha | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Sadd | Al-Arabi Doha |
|---|---|---|
| Al Sailiya SC | 6-3 W | 2-0 W |
| Qatar SC Doha | 6-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Al-Ahli Doha | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Al-Shamal SC | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Al Duhail | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Sadd (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Sadd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League |
2-1 | 6-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League |
3-0 | 6-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/04 | Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 17/03 | Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/03 | Umm Salal Qatar Stars League |
1-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/02 | Al Duhail Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Al-Arabi Doha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 03/09 | Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Al Duhail Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 27/04 | Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | L |
| 08/04 | Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | Al Sadd Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 13/03 | Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi Doha?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Sadd win (56%). Probabilities: Al Sadd 56%, draw 21%, Al-Arabi Doha 23%.
How many goals are expected in Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi Doha?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Al Sadd 2.4 · Al-Arabi Doha 1.53), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi Doha?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.