Football · Qatar Stars League · 08/10, 19:00

Prediction: Al-Wakrah SC vs Al Gharafa

Team pages: Al-Wakrah SC · Al Gharafa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Al-Wakrah SC1.68
Al Gharafa1.45
1X2
42% 26% 32%
Al-Wakrah SC Draw Al Gharafa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Al-Wakrah SC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDLLDWDLLD
Al Gharafa 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLDDWLLD
Head-to-head
Al-Wakrah SC 0–3–3 Al Gharafa (6 last)
  • Al Gharafa0-0Al-Wakrah SC
  • Al-Wakrah SC3-3Al Gharafa
  • Al Gharafa3-2Al-Wakrah SC
  • Al Gharafa1-0Al-Wakrah SC
  • Al-Wakrah SC1-1Al Gharafa
  • Al Gharafa3-1Al-Wakrah SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al-Wakrah SC 1437 · Al Gharafa 1472
Al-Wakrah SCDrawAl Gharafa
Our model42%26%32%
Market42%26%32%
Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Al Gharafa: 3-3-0.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al-Wakrah SCAl Gharafa
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.11.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 10.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.92 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 04.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Wakrah SC 0–3–3 Al Gharafa

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/05/26
Qatar Emir Cup
Al Gharafa0-0
HT 0-0
Al-Wakrah SC
08/04/26
Qatar Stars League
Al-Wakrah SC3-3
HT 1-1
Al Gharafa
13/12/25
Qatar Stars Cup
Al Gharafa3-2
HT 0-1
Al-Wakrah SC
21/11/25
Qatar Stars League
Al Gharafa1-0
HT 1-0
Al-Wakrah SC
11/04/25
Qatar Stars League
Al-Wakrah SC1-1
HT 1-1
Al Gharafa
22/11/24
Qatar Stars League
Al Gharafa3-1
HT 1-1
Al-Wakrah SC

Standings · Qatar Stars League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Sadd 4400 19712
2 Al-Rayyan SC 4310 7210
3 Al-Shamal SC 4220 1068
4 Al-Arabi Doha 4130 536
4 Al Duhail 4130 536
6 Lusail 4121 745
7 Al-Shahaniya SC 4112 794
8 Al-Ahli Doha 4112 594
9 Al Gharafa 4112 484
10 Al-Wakrah SC 4022 492
10 Qatar SC Doha 4022 492
12 Al Sailiya SC 4004 5130

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl-Wakrah SCAl Gharafa
Al-Shamal SC 1-1 D 1-3 L
Lusail 0-4 L 0-0 D
Al-Rayyan SC 1-2 L 3-2 W
Qatar SC Doha 2-2 D 0-2 L
Al Sadd 1-3 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Al-Wakrah SC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al-Wakrah SC

LDLLDWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/09 Al-Shamal SC
Qatar Stars League
1-1 1-1 35 D
04/09 Lusail
Qatar Stars League
0-3 0-4 85 L
27/08 Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar Stars League
0-1 1-2 55 L
20/08 Qatar SC Doha
Qatar Stars League
1-1 2-2 56 D
27/04 Al Sailiya SC
Qatar Stars League
2-0 3-1 42 W
08/04 Al Gharafa
Qatar Stars League
1-1 3-3 53 D
17/03 Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar Stars League
1-0 1-2 54 L
12/03 Al-Shamal SC
Qatar Stars League
0-0 0-1 –– L
27/02 Umm Salal
Qatar Stars League
1-1 2-2 95 D
22/02 Al Sadd
Qatar Stars League
0-2 1-3 94 L

Al Gharafa

WLLLDDWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Lusail
Qatar Stars League
0-0 0-0 43 D
05/09 Al Sadd
Qatar Stars League
0-2 1-4 63 L
27/08 Al-Shamal SC
Qatar Stars League
0-0 1-3 75 L
21/08 Al-Shahaniya SC
Qatar Stars League
1-1 2-1 54 W
27/04 Al-Shahaniya SC
Qatar Stars League
0-0 1-1 35 D
08/04 Al-Wakrah SC
Qatar Stars League
1-1 3-3 73 D
04/04 Al Duhail
Qatar Stars League
2-2 2-3 15 L
18/03 Al-Ahli Doha
Qatar Stars League
1-0 1-4 34 L
12/03 Qatar SC Doha
Qatar Stars League
0-1 0-2 410 L
26/02 Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar Stars League
0-1 3-2 76 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al-Wakrah SC vs Al Gharafa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al-Wakrah SC win (42%). Probabilities: Al-Wakrah SC 42%, draw 26%, Al Gharafa 32%.

How many goals are expected in Al-Wakrah SC vs Al Gharafa?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Al-Wakrah SC 1.68 · Al Gharafa 1.45), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al-Wakrah SC vs Al Gharafa?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.