Football · Qatar Stars League · 08/10, 16:45

Prediction: Al-Shamal SC vs Al Duhail

Team pages: Al-Shamal SC · Al Duhail

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Al-Shamal SC1.44

Al Duhail1.84

1X2

29% 25% 46%

Al-Shamal SC Draw Al Duhail

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Al-Shamal SC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLDWWD

Al Duhail 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWDDD

Head-to-head

Al-Shamal SC 1–5 Al Duhail (6 last)

Al-Shamal SC1-3Al Duhail
Al Duhail2-0Al-Shamal SC
Al Duhail0-4Al-Shamal SC
Al-Shamal SC2-6Al Duhail
Al Duhail3-1Al-Shamal SC
Al Duhail3-1Al-Shamal SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al-Shamal SC 1534 · Al Duhail 1572

	Al-Shamal SC	Draw	Al Duhail
Our model	29%	25%	46%
Market	29%	25%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Al Duhail: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al-Shamal SC	Al Duhail
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.60

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.14 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:49 +9’	3.10	3.60	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:47 +12’	3.07	3.52	2.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Shamal SC 1–0–5 Al Duhail

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/03/26 Qatar Stars League	Al-Shamal SC	1-3 HT 1-0	Al Duhail
25/10/25 Qatar Stars League	Al Duhail	2-0 HT 2-0	Al-Shamal SC
05/04/25 Qatar Stars League	Al Duhail	0-4 HT 0-3	Al-Shamal SC
01/11/24 Qatar Stars League	Al-Shamal SC	2-6 HT 1-4	Al Duhail
06/05/24 Qatar Emir Cup	Al Duhail	3-1 HT 1-1	Al-Shamal SC
15/03/24 Qatar Stars League	Al Duhail	3-1 HT 0-0	Al-Shamal SC

Standings · Qatar Stars League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Sadd	4	4	0	0	19	7	12
2	Al-Rayyan SC	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
3	Al-Shamal SC	4	2	2	0	10	6	8
4	Al-Arabi Doha	4	1	3	0	5	3	6
4	Al Duhail	4	1	3	0	5	3	6
6	Lusail	4	1	2	1	7	4	5
7	Al-Shahaniya SC	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
8	Al-Ahli Doha	4	1	1	2	5	9	4
9	Al Gharafa	4	1	1	2	4	8	4
10	Al-Wakrah SC	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
10	Qatar SC Doha	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
12	Al Sailiya SC	4	0	0	4	5	13	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al-Shamal SC	Al Duhail
Al-Shahaniya SC	4-2 W	1-1 D
Al Gharafa	3-1 W	3-2 W
Al-Arabi Doha	2-2 D	1-1 D
Al Sadd	2-3 L	1-3 L
Qatar SC Doha	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al-Shamal SC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al-Shamal SC

WLWLWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
04/09	Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League	1-1	4-2	6	7	W
27/08	Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League	0-0	3-1	6	5	W
21/08	Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League	0-0	2-2	3	7	D
27/04	Al Sadd Qatar Stars League	0-2	2-3	5	7	L
13/04	Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League	0-2	3-0	10	9	W
08/04	Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
04/04	Umm Salal Qatar Stars League	2-0	3-2	5	3	W
17/03	Al Duhail Qatar Stars League	1-0	1-3	6	5	L
12/03	Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Al Duhail

LWWWLWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
05/09	Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
29/08	Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
22/08	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
27/04	Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
08/04	Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
04/04	Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League	2-2	3-2	3	5	W
17/03	Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League	0-1	3-1	8	5	W
12/03	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
26/02	Al Sadd Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-3	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al-Shamal SC vs Al Duhail?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Duhail win (46%). Probabilities: Al-Shamal SC 29%, draw 25%, Al Duhail 46%.

How many goals are expected in Al-Shamal SC vs Al Duhail?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Al-Shamal SC 1.44 · Al Duhail 1.84), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al-Shamal SC vs Al Duhail?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.