Football · Vietnam Championship Women · 03/08, 11:00

Prediction: TP HCM (W) vs Ha Noi (W)

Team pages: TP HCM (W) · Ha Noi (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

TP HCM (W)1.28

Ha Noi (W)0.88

1X2

45% 31% 25%

TP HCM (W) Draw Ha Noi (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

TP HCM (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWWDWW

Ha Noi (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWDWWW

Head-to-head

TP HCM (W) 2–4–0 Ha Noi (W) (6 last)

Ha Noi (W)0-1TP HCM (W)
Ha Noi (W)0-0TP HCM (W)
TP HCM (W)2-1Ha Noi (W)
Ha Noi (W)0-0TP HCM (W)
TP HCM (W)2-2Ha Noi (W)
Ha Noi (W)0-0TP HCM (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TP HCM (W) 1610 · Ha Noi (W) 1550

	TP HCM (W)	Draw	Ha Noi (W)
Our model	44%	31%	24%
Market	45%	30%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TP HCM (W) (rating 1610 vs 1550).
H2H favours TP HCM (W): 2-4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TP HCM (W)	Ha Noi (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.5	1.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 02:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.73▼	Bet365 1.73
X	3.00 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	3.60 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:47 +1’	2.00	3.00	3.60
23:11 +4’	2.00	3.10▲	3.40▼
23:58 +5’	1.70▼	3.50▲	4.33▲
00:37 +24’	2.00▲	3.00▼	3.60▼
02:01 +1’	1.73▼	3.50▲	4.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TP HCM (W) 2–4–0 Ha Noi (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/06/26 Vietnam Championship Women	Ha Noi (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	TP HCM (W)
27/05/26 Vietnam Cup Women	Ha Noi (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	TP HCM (W)
13/05/26 Vietnam Cup Women	TP HCM (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Ha Noi (W)
13/10/25 Vietnam Championship Women	Ha Noi (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	TP HCM (W)
22/09/25 Vietnam Championship Women	TP HCM (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Ha Noi (W)
01/12/24 Vietnam Cup Women	Ha Noi (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	TP HCM (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TP HCM (W)	Ha Noi (W)
Ho Chi Minh II (W)	6-0 W	2-1 W
Ha Nam (W)	3-2 W	2-1 W
Thai Nguyen (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Than KSVN (W)	2-0 W	3-0 W
Ha Noi II (W)	2-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ha Noi (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

TP HCM (W)

WDDWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women	2-0	6-0	3	2	W
19/07	Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women	3-0	3-2	0	5	W
14/07	Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Championship Women	0-0	1-1	4	0	D
05/07	Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Championship Women	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
29/06	Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Championship Women	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
25/06	Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Championship Women	1-0	2-0	11	0	W
20/06	Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women	1-0	5-0	6	0	W
27/05	Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Cup Women	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
23/05	Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Cup Women	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
19/05	Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Cup Women	2-0	2-0	4	1	W

Ha Noi (W)

DDWWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
24/07	Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Championship Women	2-0	3-0	12	2	W
19/07	Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Championship Women	1-0	3-0	9	4	W
10/07	Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Championship Women	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
05/07	Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
29/06	TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
24/06	Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
20/06	Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Championship Women	1-0	5-1	9	0	W
27/05	TP HCM (W) Vietnam Cup Women	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
23/05	Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Cup Women	0-0	0-0	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TP HCM (W) vs Ha Noi (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TP HCM (W) win (45%). Probabilities: TP HCM (W) 45%, draw 31%, Ha Noi (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in TP HCM (W) vs Ha Noi (W)?

The model expects 2.17 goals (TP HCM (W) 1.28 · Ha Noi (W) 0.88), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in TP HCM (W) vs Ha Noi (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.