Football · Vietnam Championship Women · 24/07, 11:00

Prediction: TP HCM (W) vs Ho Chi Minh II (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.26Total
TP HCM (W)3.13
Ho Chi Minh II (W)1.13
1X2
84% 10% 6%
TP HCM (W) Draw Ho Chi Minh II (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
TP HCM (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WWDDWWWWDW
Ho Chi Minh II (W) 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLDLDL
Head-to-head
TP HCM (W) 6–0 Ho Chi Minh II (W) (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TP HCM (W) 1623 · Ho Chi Minh II (W) 1384
TP HCM (W)DrawHo Chi Minh II (W)
Our model76%14%10%
Market91%6%3%
Estimated total (ours) 4.26 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TP HCM (W) (rating 1623 vs 1384).
  • H2H favours TP HCM (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TP HCM (W)Ho Chi Minh II (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.60.6 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.20.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.61.1 / 1.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 01.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · TP HCM (W) 600 Ho Chi Minh II (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/06/26
Vietnam Championship Women
Ho Chi Minh II (W)0-5
HT 0-1
TP HCM (W)
25/09/25
Vietnam Championship Women
TP HCM (W)3-0
HT 1-0
Ho Chi Minh II (W)
05/09/25
Vietnam Championship Women
Ho Chi Minh II (W)0-7
HT 0-4
TP HCM (W)
07/07/24
Vietnam Championship Women
Ho Chi Minh II (W)0-3
HT 0-3
TP HCM (W)
06/05/24
Vietnam Championship Women
TP HCM (W)5-0
HT 3-0
Ho Chi Minh II (W)
12/12/23
Vietnam Championship Women
Ho Chi Minh II (W)1-6
HT 1-4
TP HCM (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTP HCM (W)Ho Chi Minh II (W)
Ha Nam (W) 3-2 W 2-2 D
Thai Nguyen (W) 1-1 D 0-5 L
Than KSVN (W) 2-0 W 1-2 L
Ha Noi (W) 1-0 W 1-2 L
Ha Noi II (W) 2-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TP HCM (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TP HCM (W)

WWDDWWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Ha Nam (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
3-0 3-2 05 W
14/07 Thai Nguyen (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
0-0 1-1 40 D
05/07 Than KSVN (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
1-0 2-0 54 W
29/06 Ha Noi (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
0-0 1-0 41 W
25/06 Ha Noi II (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
1-0 2-0 110 W
20/06 Ho Chi Minh II (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
1-0 5-0 60 W
27/05 Ha Noi (W)
Vietnam Cup Women
0-0 0-0 42 D
23/05 Ha Nam (W)
Vietnam Cup Women
1-2 2-2 42 D
19/05 Than KSVN (W)
Vietnam Cup Women
2-0 2-0 41 W
13/05 Ha Noi (W)
Vietnam Cup Women
1-0 2-1 41 W

Ho Chi Minh II (W)

LLLLLLDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Thai Nguyen (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
0-0 0-5 15 L
14/07 Ha Nam (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
1-1 2-2 15 D
10/07 Than KSVN (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
0-0 1-2 11 L
30/06 Ha Noi II (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
1-1 1-1 31 D
24/06 Ha Noi (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
0-1 1-2 31 L
20/06 TP HCM (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
0-1 0-5 10 L
12/10 Thai Nguyen (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
0-0 0-2 10 L
09/10 Ha Noi (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
0-1 1-5 12 L
05/10 Ha Nam (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
0-0 0-1 10 L
01/10 Than KSVN (W)
Vietnam Championship Women
0-4 0-4 11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TP HCM (W) vs Ho Chi Minh II (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TP HCM (W) win (84%). Probabilities: TP HCM (W) 84%, draw 10%, Ho Chi Minh II (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in TP HCM (W) vs Ho Chi Minh II (W)?

The model expects 4.26 goals (TP HCM (W) 3.13 · Ho Chi Minh II (W) 1.13), with a 58% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in TP HCM (W) vs Ho Chi Minh II (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.