Football · Poland League Women · 01/08, 15:30
Prediction: Unia Lublin (W) vs UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.14Total
Unia Lublin (W)2.11
UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)2.04
1X2
Unia Lublin (W)
Draw
UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Unia Lublin (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Unia Lublin (W)
0–1–1
UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)
(2 last)
- UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)2-2Unia Lublin (W)
- Unia Lublin (W)4-5UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Unia Lublin (W) 1458 · UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 1481
| Unia Lublin (W) | Draw | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| Market | 41% | 21% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.14 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Unia Lublin (W) | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.8 | 1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Unia Lublin (W) 0–1–1 UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Poland League Women | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) | 2-2 | Unia Lublin (W) |
| 09/08/25 Poland League Women | Unia Lublin (W) | 4-5 | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) |
Standings · Poland League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportis KKP Bydgoszcz (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KKP Stomilanki Olsztyn Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lech Poznan II (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Medyk Konin (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MKS Myszkow Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Resovia Rzeszow (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unia Lublin (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Unia Lublin (W) | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) |
|---|---|---|
| LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Medyk Konin (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Legia Warsaw (W) | 0-6 L | 1-3 L |
| Resovia Rzeszow (W) | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Sportis KKP Bydgoszcz (W) | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| KKP Warszawa (W) | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 6 L | 3 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Unia Lublin (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) Poland League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) Poland League Women |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Medyk Konin (W) Poland League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) Poland League Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland League Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) Poland League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/03 | Resovia Rzeszow (W) Poland League Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Sportis KKP Bydgoszcz (W) Poland League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/03 | KKP Warszawa (W) Poland League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | KKP Warszawa (W) Poland League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Sportis KKP Bydgoszcz (W) Poland League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) Poland League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) Poland League Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Medyk Konin (W) Poland League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) Poland League Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland League Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) Poland League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 14/03 | Resovia Rzeszow (W) Poland League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Unia Lublin (W) vs UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Unia Lublin (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Unia Lublin (W) 41%, draw 21%, UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 38%.
How many goals are expected in Unia Lublin (W) vs UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)?
The model expects 4.14 goals (Unia Lublin (W) 2.11 · UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 2.04), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Unia Lublin (W) vs UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.