Football · Poland League Women · 01/08, 12:00
Prediction: Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) vs Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.05Total
Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)2.38
Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)1.68
1X2
Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)
Draw
Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) 1400 · Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) 1560
| Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) | Draw | Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| Market | 53% | 21% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.05 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) (rating 1400 vs 1560).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) | Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 3.2 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 13/75/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3.2 | 1.2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Standings · Poland League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportis KKP Bydgoszcz (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KKP Stomilanki Olsztyn Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lech Poznan II (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Medyk Konin (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MKS Myszkow Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Resovia Rzeszow (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unia Lublin (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | APLG Gdansk (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/03 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Unia Lublin (W) Poland League Women |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Resovia Rzeszow (W) Poland League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | KKP Warszawa (W) Poland League Women |
– | 8-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Medyk Konin (W) Poland League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) Poland League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) Poland League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Sportis KKP Bydgoszcz (W) Poland League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) Poland League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) Poland League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) vs Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) 53%, draw 21%, Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) vs Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)?
The model expects 4.05 goals (Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) 2.38 · Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) 1.68), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) vs Czarni Sosnowiec II (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.