Football · Spain Primera Federacion Women · 27/09, 12:00

Prediction: Tenerife B (W) vs Real Madrid (W) B

Team pages: Tenerife B (W) · Real Madrid (W) B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Tenerife B (W)1.23

Real Madrid (W) B1.16

1X2

37% 29% 34%

Tenerife B (W) Draw Real Madrid (W) B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Tenerife B (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Real Madrid (W) B 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWLDDL

Head-to-head

Tenerife B (W) 1–1 Real Madrid (W) B (2 last)

Real Madrid (W) B2-1Tenerife B (W)
Tenerife B (W)2-1Real Madrid (W) B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tenerife B (W) 1507 · Real Madrid (W) B 1509

	Tenerife B (W)	Draw	Real Madrid (W) B
Our model	37%	30%	33%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tenerife B (W)	Real Madrid (W) B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.4	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.20

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +18’	2.38	3.20	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tenerife B (W) 1–0–1 Real Madrid (W) B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Spain Primera Federacion Women	Real Madrid (W) B	2-1 HT 0-1	Tenerife B (W)
18/10/25 Spain Primera Federacion Women	Tenerife B (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Real Madrid (W) B

Standings · Spain Primera Federacion Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alhama CF (W)	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
2	Atletico Madrid (W) B	2	2	0	0	7	4	6
3	Villarreal (W)	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	Athletic Bilbao B (W)	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
5	Fundacion Albacete (W)	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
6	Levante UD (W)	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
6	Real Sociedad II (W)	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
8	Osasuna (W)	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
9	Sport Extremadura (W)	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
10	Real Madrid (W) B	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
11	UD Tacuense (W)	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
12	Tenerife B (W)	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
13	Barcelona II (W)	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
14	CFF Caceres Women	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tenerife B (W)	Real Madrid (W) B
Villarreal (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Real Betis (W)	2-1 W	3-0 W
Fundacion Albacete (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Real Madrid (W) B (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tenerife B (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Athletic Bilbao B (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
13/09	Villarreal (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
02/05	Atletico Madrid (W) B Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
25/04	Real Betis (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
05/04	SE AEM (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
29/03	Villarreal (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	3-1	5	1	W
22/03	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
15/03	Real Madrid (W) B Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
21/02	Fundacion Albacete (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/02	CFF Caceres Women Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-0	1-0	3	9	W

Real Madrid (W) B

WDWDWWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
13/09	Osasuna (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-2	3-3	2	5	D
02/05	Villarreal (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-0	1-1	11	1	D
25/04	Barcelona II (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
04/04	Real Oviedo (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
29/03	Real Betis (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
22/03	Fundacion Albacete (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/03	Tenerife B (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
22/02	Valencia (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
14/02	CE Europa (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women	1-0	2-0	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tenerife B (W) vs Real Madrid (W) B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tenerife B (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Tenerife B (W) 37%, draw 29%, Real Madrid (W) B 34%.

How many goals are expected in Tenerife B (W) vs Real Madrid (W) B?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Tenerife B (W) 1.23 · Real Madrid (W) B 1.16), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tenerife B (W) vs Real Madrid (W) B?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.