Football · UAE Division 1 · 18/09, 16:40

Prediction: Gulf United FC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra

Team pages: Gulf United FC · Al Jazira Al Hamra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Gulf United FC1.79

Al Jazira Al Hamra1.15

1X2

52% 25% 24%

Gulf United FC Draw Al Jazira Al Hamra

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gulf United FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLLLLW

Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDWLDLD

Head-to-head

Gulf United FC 0–4–2 Al Jazira Al Hamra (6 last)

Gulf United FC0-0Al Jazira Al Hamra
Al Jazira Al Hamra1-1Gulf United FC
Gulf United FC4-4Al Jazira Al Hamra
Al Jazira Al Hamra2-1Gulf United FC
Al Jazira Al Hamra1-1Gulf United FC
Al Jazira Al Hamra3-2Gulf United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gulf United FC 1445 · Al Jazira Al Hamra 1457

	Gulf United FC	Draw	Al Jazira Al Hamra
Our model	51%	25%	23%
Market	52%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Al Jazira Al Hamra: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gulf United FC	Al Jazira Al Hamra
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.5	1.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.75

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:49 +13’	1.73	3.75	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gulf United FC 0–4–2 Al Jazira Al Hamra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 UAE Division 1	Gulf United FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Jazira Al Hamra
26/10/25 UAE Division 1	Al Jazira Al Hamra	1-1 HT 0-1	Gulf United FC
21/02/25 UAE Division 1	Gulf United FC	4-4 HT 3-1	Al Jazira Al Hamra
21/10/24 UAE Division 1	Al Jazira Al Hamra	2-1 HT 0-0	Gulf United FC
26/05/24 UAE Division 1	Al Jazira Al Hamra	1-1 HT 0-0	Gulf United FC
13/01/24 UAE Division 1	Al Jazira Al Hamra	3-2 HT 1-0	Gulf United FC

Standings · UAE Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain	4	3	1	0	12	5	10
2	Al Dhaid	4	3	1	0	11	4	10
3	Al Bataeh	4	2	1	1	3	2	7
4	Al Hamriyah	4	2	0	2	4	6	6
5	Palm City FC	4	2	0	2	8	11	6
6	Al Urooba	4	1	3	0	5	3	6
7	Dibba Al Fujairah	3	2	0	1	7	6	6
8	Forte Virtus FC	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
9	Al Fujairah	4	2	0	2	8	6	6
10	Dubai City	4	1	1	2	6	10	4
11	Dubba Al Husun	3	1	0	2	6	4	3
12	Gulf United FC	3	1	0	2	6	7	3
13	Emirates Club RAK	4	1	0	3	4	5	3
14	Al Jazira Al Hamra	4	0	2	2	2	10	2
15	Al Ittifaq Dubai	4	0	1	3	1	5	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gulf United FC	Al Jazira Al Hamra
Al Ittifaq Dubai	1-0 W	1-2 L
Al Dhaid	2-3 L	0-1 L
Al Urooba	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gulf United FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gulf United FC

LDLWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Al Ittifaq Dubai UAE Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
04/09	Al Dhaid UAE Division 1	1-1	2-3	9	3	L
28/08	Dibba Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	2-2	3-4	5	3	L
29/05	Al Ittifaq Dubai UAE Division 1	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
23/05	Al Urooba UAE Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
15/05	Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain UAE Division 1	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
10/05	Masfut UAE Division 1	1-0	4-2	5	4	W
24/04	Dubai United UAE Division 1	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
19/04	Emirates Club RAK UAE Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
11/04	Dubba Al Husun UAE Division 1	0-0	0-3	4	2	L

Al Jazira Al Hamra

LLLWDWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Dubai City UAE Division 1	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
04/09	Al Urooba UAE Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
29/08	Al Bataeh UAE Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
22/08	Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	–	0-6	2	1	L
29/05	Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	1-1	3-1	4	8	W
15/05	Majd FC UAE Division 1	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
10/05	Dubai City UAE Division 1	1-2	4-3	6	8	W
03/05	Al Dhaid UAE Division 1	0-0	0-1	10	4	L
24/04	Al Hamriyah UAE Division 1	0-1	1-5	5	4	L
18/04	Al Ittifaq Dubai UAE Division 1	1-2	1-2	12	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gulf United FC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gulf United FC win (52%). Probabilities: Gulf United FC 52%, draw 25%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 24%.

How many goals are expected in Gulf United FC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Gulf United FC 1.79 · Al Jazira Al Hamra 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gulf United FC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.