Football · Egypt Division 2 · 21/08, 15:30

Prediction: Proxy SC vs Pharco FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.99Total

Proxy SC1.02

Pharco FC0.96

1X2

35% 32% 32%

Proxy SC Draw Pharco FC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Proxy SC 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWWDWW

Pharco FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLDDLLLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Proxy SC 1577 · Pharco FC 1452

	Proxy SC	Draw	Pharco FC
Our model	35%	34%	32%
Market	36%	31%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Proxy SC (rating 1577 vs 1452).
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Proxy SC	Pharco FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/67/11%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.88

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:43 +4’	2.50	2.88	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Egypt Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Nasr Cairo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Baladiyet El Mahallah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dayrout	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Daklyeh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Entag El Harby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Mansoura	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Seka El Hadid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Masar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Haras El Hedoud	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ismaily SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kahraba Ismailia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	La Viena FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Belqas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pharco FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Proxy SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team FC Cairo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tersana SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WE SC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Proxy SC

WDDWDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/05	El Daklyeh Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
07/05	Al Qanah Egypt Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/04	FC Masar Egypt Division 2	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
23/04	El Seka El Hadid Egypt Division 2	2-0	4-1	1	2	W
16/04	El Entag El Harby Egypt Division 2	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
09/04	Abo Qir Semad Egypt Division 2	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
02/04	Tanta Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
26/03	Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
12/03	El Mansoura Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
06/03	Raya Ghazl SC Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

Pharco FC

WLLLDDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/05	Ismaily SC Egypt Division 1	2-0	2-1	1	5	W
22/05	National Bank Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
18/05	Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
12/05	Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
08/05	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
04/05	Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1	0-1	1-1	8	0	D
28/04	ZED FC Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
24/04	El Gounah Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
18/04	Petrojet Egypt Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
13/04	Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1	0-1	2-1	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Proxy SC vs Pharco FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Proxy SC win (35%). Probabilities: Proxy SC 35%, draw 32%, Pharco FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Proxy SC vs Pharco FC?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Proxy SC 1.02 · Pharco FC 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Proxy SC vs Pharco FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.