Football · Egypt Division 2 · 21/08, 15:30

Prediction: Ismaily SC vs FC Masar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Ismaily SC1.11

FC Masar0.91

1X2

39% 31% 29%

Ismaily SC Draw FC Masar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ismaily SC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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FC Masar 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ismaily SC 1451 · FC Masar 1514

	Ismaily SC	Draw	FC Masar
Our model	38%	33%	28%
Market	40%	30%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Masar (rating 1451 vs 1514).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ismaily SC	FC Masar
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	4.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:36 +10’	2.25	3.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Egypt Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Nasr Cairo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Baladiyet El Mahallah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dayrout	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Daklyeh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Entag El Harby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Mansoura	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Seka El Hadid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Masar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Haras El Hedoud	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ismaily SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kahraba Ismailia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	La Viena FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Belqas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pharco FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Proxy SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team FC Cairo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tersana SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WE SC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ismaily SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/05	Pharco FC Egypt Division 1	0-2	1-2	3	5	L
23/05	Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1	0-1	0-3	6	7	L
17/05	ZED FC Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
12/05	Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1	0-1	1-2	0	5	L
07/05	National Bank Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
03/05	Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
28/04	Petrojet Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
24/04	Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
19/04	El Gounah Egypt Division 1	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
14/04	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-1	6	3	D

FC Masar

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/05	WE SC Egypt Division 2	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
07/05	Dayrout Egypt Division 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
30/04	Proxy SC Egypt Division 2	1-1	2-2	7	7	D
23/04	Aswan FC Egypt Division 2	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
16/04	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
09/04	El Daklyeh Egypt Division 2	1-0	4-1	2	0	W
03/04	Al Qanah Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
26/03	Baladiyet El Mahallah Egypt Division 2	1-0	2-1	8	6	W
12/03	El Seka El Hadid Egypt Division 2	2-0	2-1	3	8	W
06/03	El Entag El Harby Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ismaily SC vs FC Masar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ismaily SC win (39%). Probabilities: Ismaily SC 39%, draw 31%, FC Masar 29%.

How many goals are expected in Ismaily SC vs FC Masar?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Ismaily SC 1.11 · FC Masar 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ismaily SC vs FC Masar?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.