Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 21/08, 17:50

Prediction: Al Jeel vs Al Zulfi

Team pages: Al Zulfi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Al Jeel1.18

Al Zulfi1.74

1X2

25% 25% 50%

Al Jeel Draw Al Zulfi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Al Jeel 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Al Zulfi 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Jeel 1548 · Al Zulfi 1486

	Al Jeel	Draw	Al Zulfi
Our model	25%	26%	50%
Market	25%	25%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Jeel (rating 1548 vs 1486).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Jeel	Al Zulfi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.5	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.8	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.60

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +3’	3.60	3.60	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Adalh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Anwar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Bukayriyah FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jabalain	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jandal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jeel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Najma	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Okhdood	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Orubah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Saqer FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Taee	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Ula	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Wehda Mecca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Raed	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Zulfi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Damac FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hajer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jeddah Club	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Al Jeel

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/04	Al-Saqer FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/04	Al Sharq Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-1	2-4	2	3	L
04/04	Al Najoom Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/03	Jubbah Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
24/03	Najran SC Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
14/03	Jerash Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	3-2	–	–	W
27/02	Al Shoalah Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
21/02	Al-Rawdhah Club Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
16/02	Al Taraji Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/02	Al-Sadd FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	3-2	–	–	W

Al Zulfi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Cup	0-1	0-2	1	1	L
14/05	Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-2	2-4	7	1	L
10/05	Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-2	2-2	1	0	D
03/05	Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
28/04	Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
22/04	Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
13/04	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
07/04	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 1	3-0	4-1	6	6	W
02/04	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
08/03	Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Jeel vs Al Zulfi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Zulfi win (50%). Probabilities: Al Jeel 25%, draw 25%, Al Zulfi 50%.

How many goals are expected in Al Jeel vs Al Zulfi?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Al Jeel 1.18 · Al Zulfi 1.74), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Jeel vs Al Zulfi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.