Football · Argentina Torneo A · 23/08, 20:00

Prediction: Escobar FC vs Gimnasia y Esgrima

Team pages: Escobar FC · Gimnasia y Esgrima

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

Escobar FC1.37

Gimnasia y Esgrima0.62

1X2

55% 29% 16%

Escobar FC Draw Gimnasia y Esgrima

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Escobar FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDLWDW

Gimnasia y Esgrima 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWDLWDW

Head-to-head

Escobar FC 2–0 Gimnasia y Esgrima (2 last)

Escobar FC2-1Gimnasia y Esgrima
Gimnasia y Esgrima1-2Escobar FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Escobar FC 1542 · Gimnasia y Esgrima 1507

	Escobar FC	Draw	Gimnasia y Esgrima
Our model	54%	30%	16%
Market	55%	28%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Escobar FC: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Escobar FC	Gimnasia y Esgrima
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3	2.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.20

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:00 +4’	1.61	3.20	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Escobar FC 2–0–0 Gimnasia y Esgrima

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Argentina Torneo A	Escobar FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Gimnasia y Esgrima
26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A	Gimnasia y Esgrima	1-2 HT 1-2	Escobar FC

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boca Unidos	3	2	1	0	7	1	7
2	Gimnasia y Esgrima	3	2	1	0	6	0	7
3	Defensores Puerto Vilelas	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
4	Escobar FC	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
5	Club Atlético El Linqueño	3	1	2	0	3	1	5
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	4	0	3	1	0	2	3
7	Sarmiento de Resistencia	4	1	0	3	3	9	3
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
9	Tucuman Central	4	0	1	3	6	12	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Escobar FC	Gimnasia y Esgrima
Tucuman Central	3-2 W	4-0 W
Sportivo Las Parejas	0-0 D	0-1 L
Sportivo Belgrano	2-2 D	1-0 W
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	0-2 L	0-0 D
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	2-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia y Esgrima (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Escobar FC

WLWDWDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A	1-1	3-2	5	8	W
12/08	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	0	2	D
08/08	Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
01/08	Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
25/07	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	1-2	2-2	3	4	D
11/07	CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
05/07	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
28/06	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/06	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	7	6	L
13/06	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	2-0	2-0	3	5	W

Gimnasia y Esgrima

WDLLWDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A	2-0	2-0	7	9	W
13/08	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
02/08	Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A	2-0	4-0	8	2	W
26/07	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
12/07	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
05/07	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
28/06	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
21/06	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
14/06	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
07/06	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Escobar FC vs Gimnasia y Esgrima?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Escobar FC win (55%). Probabilities: Escobar FC 55%, draw 29%, Gimnasia y Esgrima 16%.

How many goals are expected in Escobar FC vs Gimnasia y Esgrima?

The model expects 2 goals (Escobar FC 1.37 · Gimnasia y Esgrima 0.62), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Escobar FC vs Gimnasia y Esgrima?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.