Football · Argentina Torneo A · 23/08, 20:30

Prediction: Independiente Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central

Team pages: Independiente Chivilcoy · Tucuman Central

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Independiente Chivilcoy1.67
Tucuman Central0.69
1X2
60% 26% 14%
Independiente Chivilcoy Draw Tucuman Central
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Chivilcoy 0-6-4 (W-D-L)
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Tucuman Central 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLDLDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente Chivilcoy 1446 · Tucuman Central 1429
Independiente ChivilcoyDrawTucuman Central
Our model60%26%14%
Market60%25%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Independiente ChivilcoyTucuman Central
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.31.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.92.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.44.7 / 0.5

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Boca Unidos 3210 717
2 Gimnasia y Esgrima 3210 607
3 Defensores Puerto Vilelas 4211 867
4 Escobar FC 4211 457
5 Club Atlético El Linqueño 3120 315
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 4031 023
7 Sarmiento de Resistencia 4103 393
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 3021 232
9 Tucuman Central 4013 6121

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIndependiente ChivilcoyTucuman Central
Sarmiento de Resistencia 1-2 L 0-1 L
Boca Unidos 1-1 D 2-0 W
Club Atlético El Linqueño 1-2 L 1-1 D
Gimnasia y Esgrima 0-0 D 0-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tucuman Central (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Independiente Chivilcoy

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 05 D
12/08 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 1-2 116 L
08/08 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 38 D
26/07 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 54 D
12/07 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 58 L
05/07 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 42 D
28/06 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-4 41 L
21/06 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 211 L
14/06 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 33 D
07/06 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 26 D

Tucuman Central

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 2-3 68 L
12/08 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 3-4 33 L
08/08 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 117 D
02/08 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-4 52 L
26/07 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 45 D
12/07 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-3 15 L
05/07 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 86 L
28/06 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 34 L
21/06 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-0 33 W
07/06 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-3 09 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Chivilcoy win (60%). Probabilities: Independiente Chivilcoy 60%, draw 26%, Tucuman Central 14%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Independiente Chivilcoy 1.67 · Tucuman Central 0.69), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.