Football · Argentina Torneo A · 23/08, 20:30
Prediction: Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Team pages: Defensores de Belgrano VR · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
Defensores de Belgrano VR1.18
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy0.58
1X2
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Draw
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores de Belgrano VR
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–1–3
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
(4 last)
- Defensores de Belgrano VR2-2Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
- Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy3-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR0-1Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
- Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy2-1Defensores de Belgrano VR
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1521 · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1509
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | Draw | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 34% | 17% |
| Market | 51% | 30% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 5.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Belgrano VR 0–1–3 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy |
| 16/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 06/07/25 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy |
| 04/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Sol de America de Formosa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | CA Douglas Haig | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 7 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 | Sportivo Belgrano | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 9 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensores de Belgrano VR | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Belgrano | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Escobar FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Chivilcoy | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Defensores de Belgrano VR (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 13/07 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 15/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 13/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores de Belgrano VR win (50%). Probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano VR 50%, draw 32%, Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 18%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Defensores de Belgrano VR 1.18 · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 0.58), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.