Prediction: Germinal de Rawson vs San Martin de Mendoza
Team pages: Germinal de Rawson · San Martin de Mendoza
- San Martin de Mendoza2-0Germinal de Rawson
| Germinal de Rawson | Draw | San Martin de Mendoza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 33% | 21% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin de Mendoza (rating 1473 vs 1542).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Germinal de Rawson | San Martin de Mendoza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.7 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Germinal de Rawson 0–0–1 San Martin de Mendoza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/25 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin de Mendoza | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Germinal de Rawson |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin de Mendoza | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Germinal de Rawson | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | CA Costa Brava | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Sol de Mayo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | FADEP Mendoza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Guillermo Brown | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Santamarina Tandil | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Germinal de Rawson | San Martin de Mendoza |
|---|---|---|
| Sol de Mayo | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Santamarina Tandil | 5-1 W | 1-0 W |
| CA Costa Brava | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Germinal de Rawson
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 12/08 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-4 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
San Martin de Mendoza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/08 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 12/07 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Germinal de Rawson vs San Martin de Mendoza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Germinal de Rawson win (47%). Probabilities: Germinal de Rawson 47%, draw 31%, San Martin de Mendoza 22%.
How many goals are expected in Germinal de Rawson vs San Martin de Mendoza?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Germinal de Rawson 1.21 · San Martin de Mendoza 0.73), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Germinal de Rawson vs San Martin de Mendoza?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.