Football · Argentina Torneo A · 23/08, 20:00
Prediction: Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina Tandil
Team pages: Guillermo Brown · Santamarina Tandil
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Guillermo Brown1.41
Santamarina Tandil0.78
1X2
Guillermo Brown
Draw
Santamarina Tandil
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Guillermo Brown
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Santamarina Tandil
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guillermo Brown
3–2–1
Santamarina Tandil
(6 last)
- Santamarina Tandil0-2Guillermo Brown
- Guillermo Brown2-2Santamarina Tandil
- Guillermo Brown4-1Santamarina Tandil
- Santamarina Tandil2-2Guillermo Brown
- Guillermo Brown1-4Santamarina Tandil
- Guillermo Brown1-0Santamarina Tandil
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guillermo Brown 1479 · Santamarina Tandil 1431
| Guillermo Brown | Draw | Santamarina Tandil | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 30% | 19% |
| Market | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guillermo Brown (rating 1479 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Guillermo Brown: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guillermo Brown | Santamarina Tandil | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/22/44% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.4 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guillermo Brown 3–2–1 Santamarina Tandil
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Santamarina Tandil | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Guillermo Brown |
| 22/03/26 Argentina Torneo A | Guillermo Brown | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Santamarina Tandil |
| 23/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | Guillermo Brown | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Santamarina Tandil |
| 13/07/25 Argentina Torneo A | Santamarina Tandil | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Guillermo Brown |
| 11/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Guillermo Brown | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Santamarina Tandil |
| 01/08/22 Argentina Nacional B | Guillermo Brown | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Santamarina Tandil |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin de Mendoza | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Germinal de Rawson | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | CA Costa Brava | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Sol de Mayo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | FADEP Mendoza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Guillermo Brown | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Santamarina Tandil | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guillermo Brown | Santamarina Tandil |
|---|---|---|
| Club Circulo Deportivo | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Germinal de Rawson | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Club Villa Mitre | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Sol de Mayo | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Olimpo B Blanca | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Santamarina Tandil (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guillermo Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/08 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Santamarina Tandil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 12/08 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina Tandil?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guillermo Brown win (51%). Probabilities: Guillermo Brown 51%, draw 29%, Santamarina Tandil 20%.
How many goals are expected in Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina Tandil?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Guillermo Brown 1.41 · Santamarina Tandil 0.78), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina Tandil?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.