Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 12/09, 20:00

Prediction: Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha

Team pages: Al Shabab Riyadh · Al Fayha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Al Shabab Riyadh1.75

Al Fayha0.98

1X2

55% 25% 20%

Al Shabab Riyadh Draw Al Fayha

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Shabab Riyadh 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLDDDL

Al Fayha 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLLDWD

Head-to-head

Al Shabab Riyadh 4–1–1 Al Fayha (6 last)

Al Shabab Riyadh1-0Al Fayha
Al Fayha0-0Al Shabab Riyadh
Al Fayha0-2Al Shabab Riyadh
Al Shabab Riyadh2-1Al Fayha
Al Shabab Riyadh2-1Al Fayha
Al Shabab Riyadh2-3Al Fayha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Shabab Riyadh 1460 · Al Fayha 1447

	Al Shabab Riyadh	Draw	Al Fayha
Our model	55%	26%	20%
Market	55%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Al Shabab Riyadh: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Shabab Riyadh	Al Fayha
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.1	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	1.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.75

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:42 +13’	1.61	3.75	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Shabab Riyadh 4–1–1 Al Fayha

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Shabab Riyadh	1-0 HT 1-0	Al Fayha
19/09/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Fayha	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Shabab Riyadh
26/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Fayha	0-2 HT 0-1	Al Shabab Riyadh
27/01/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Shabab Riyadh	2-1 HT 1-0	Al Fayha
06/01/25 Saudi Arabia Cup	Al Shabab Riyadh	2-1 HT 2-0	Al Fayha
07/03/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Shabab Riyadh	2-3 HT 0-0	Al Fayha

Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Hilal Riyadh	6	5	0	1	17	5	15
2	Al Ittihad Jeddah	6	4	2	0	9	5	14
3	Al-Nassr Riyadh	5	4	0	1	13	5	12
4	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	5	4	0	1	10	3	12
5	Neom SC	6	4	0	2	9	4	12
6	Al Ittifaq Dammam	6	3	1	2	8	8	10
7	Al Ahli Jeddah	5	3	0	2	11	6	9
8	Al Kholood	5	2	3	0	10	7	9
9	Al Hazm	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
10	Al Draih	5	2	1	2	5	4	7
11	Al Fayha	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
12	Al Riyadh	6	1	2	3	6	16	5
13	Al Khaleej Saihat	6	0	4	2	2	9	4
14	Al Taawon Buraidah	6	0	3	3	3	6	3
15	Al Shabab Riyadh	5	0	3	2	5	9	3
16	Al Fateh SC	5	0	3	2	1	5	3
17	Al Faisaly Harmah	6	0	3	3	4	10	3
18	Abha	5	0	1	4	4	11	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Shabab Riyadh	Al Fayha
Al Hilal Riyadh	0-2 L	0-3 L
Al Riyadh	3-3 D	4-2 W
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	1-3 L	1-2 L
Neom SC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Al Taawon Buraidah	1-5 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Al Fayha (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Shabab Riyadh

LLLWLLDDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
30/08	Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
25/08	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-2	3-3	10	3	D
22/08	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
13/08	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
20/05	Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-1	9	8	L
17/05	Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	3-2	4	5	W
11/05	Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	1-2	6	3	L
07/05	Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-2	2-4	2	3	L
03/05	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-2	1-5	6	3	L

Al Fayha

DWLLLLLDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
28/08	Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	3-2	5	3	W
25/08	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
20/08	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
14/08	Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
21/05	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
15/05	Damac FC Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
09/05	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
04/05	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	4-2	9	1	W
30/04	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-1	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Shabab Riyadh win (55%). Probabilities: Al Shabab Riyadh 55%, draw 25%, Al Fayha 20%.

How many goals are expected in Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Al Shabab Riyadh 1.75 · Al Fayha 0.98), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.