Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 09/10, 16:55

Prediction: Al Fateh SC vs Al Ahli Jeddah

Team pages: Al Fateh SC · Al Ahli Jeddah

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Al Fateh SC1.23

Al Ahli Jeddah1.75

1X2

26% 26% 48%

Al Fateh SC Draw Al Ahli Jeddah

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Fateh SC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Al Ahli Jeddah 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Al Fateh SC 3–1–2 Al Ahli Jeddah (6 last)

Al Ahli Jeddah3-1Al Fateh SC
Al Fateh SC2-1Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah2-0Al Fateh SC
Al Fateh SC1-0Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Ahli Jeddah1-1Al Fateh SC
Al Fateh SC5-1Al Ahli Jeddah

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahli Jeddah (rating 1419 vs 1552).
H2H favours Al Fateh SC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Fateh SC	Al Ahli Jeddah
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.2	2.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.99

Under 3.51.81

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.85 → 5.85	Pinn 5.85
X	5.05 → 5.05	Pinn 5.05
2	1.41 → 1.41	Pinn 1.41

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:45 +412’	5.85	5.05	1.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Fateh SC 3–1–2 Al Ahli Jeddah

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	3-1 HT 1-0	Al Fateh SC
26/12/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Fateh SC	2-1 HT 1-1	Al Ahli Jeddah
07/02/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	2-0 HT 1-0	Al Fateh SC
27/08/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Fateh SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Ahli Jeddah
02/03/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Ahli Jeddah	1-1 HT 0-1	Al Fateh SC
02/09/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Fateh SC	5-1 HT 1-1	Al Ahli Jeddah

Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Hilal Riyadh	7	6	0	1	23	5	18
2	Al Ittihad Jeddah	7	5	2	0	12	6	17
3	Al-Nassr Riyadh	7	5	1	1	16	7	16
4	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar	7	5	1	1	16	8	16
5	Neom SC	7	5	0	2	13	6	15
6	Al Ahli Jeddah	7	4	0	3	16	10	12
7	Al Kholood	7	3	3	1	12	10	12
8	Al Draih	7	3	2	2	7	5	11
9	Al Ittifaq Dammam	7	3	2	2	11	11	11
10	Al Hazm	7	2	2	3	7	9	8
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8	16	8
12	Al Fayha	7	1	3	3	7	11	6
13	Al Khaleej Saihat	7	0	5	2	3	10	5
14	Al Shabab Riyadh	7	0	4	3	6	11	4
15	Al Fateh SC	7	0	3	4	4	11	3
16	Al Faisaly Harmah	7	0	3	4	5	13	3
17	Al Taawon Buraidah	7	0	3	4	3	12	3
18	Abha	7	0	2	5	5	13	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Fateh SC	Al Ahli Jeddah
Al Draih	1-2 L	1-0 W
Al Taawon Buraidah	0-0 D	2-1 W
Al Kholood	0-0 D	1-3 L
Al Riyadh	0-1 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ahli Jeddah (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Fateh SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	2-4	3	3	L
09/09	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-2	1-2	5	4	L
05/09	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
29/08	Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
26/08	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
22/08	Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
15/08	Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
21/05	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
14/05	Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
10/05	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-1	2	7	L

Al Ahli Jeddah

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-1	3-1	5	1	W
08/09	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-3	2-3	5	6	L
04/09	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
01/09	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
29/08	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-0	4-0	2	4	W
13/08	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
20/05	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
16/05	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	3-0	3-0	4	2	W
11/05	Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	2-1	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Fateh SC vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ahli Jeddah win (48%). Probabilities: Al Fateh SC 26%, draw 26%, Al Ahli Jeddah 48%.

How many goals are expected in Al Fateh SC vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Al Fateh SC 1.23 · Al Ahli Jeddah 1.75), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Fateh SC vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.