Football · Belarus Premier League · 31/07, 17:00
Prediction: Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan Novopolotsk
Team pages: Dnepr Mogilev · Naftan Novopolotsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Dnepr Mogilev1.84
Naftan Novopolotsk0.8
1X2
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw
Naftan Novopolotsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Dnepr Mogilev
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Naftan Novopolotsk
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dnepr Mogilev
2–2–2
Naftan Novopolotsk
(6 last)
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-0Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev0-3Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk2-1Dnepr Mogilev
- Naftan Novopolotsk1-1Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev3-0Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-2Dnepr Mogilev
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dnepr Mogilev (rating 1525 vs 1424).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dnepr Mogilev | Naftan Novopolotsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.8 | – / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dnepr Mogilev 2–2–2 Naftan Novopolotsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 06/10/24 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 18/05/24 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 09/10/21 Belarus Division 1 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 24/07/21 Belarus Division 1 | Dnepr Mogilev | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 06/05/21 Belarus Division 1 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Dnepr Mogilev |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 26 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Torpedo Zhodino | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 21 |
| 9 | Neman Grodno | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Vitebsk | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 20 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Slavia Mozyr | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 11 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 11 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dnepr Mogilev | Naftan Novopolotsk |
|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Zhodino | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| FC Minsk | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Dnepr Mogilev (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dnepr Mogilev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Neman Grodno Reserves Belarus Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 20/07 | Naftan Novopolotsk 2 Belarus Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Osipovichi Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2 Belarus Division 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Vitebsk 2 Belarus Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/06 | Slavia Mozyr 2 Belarus Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
Naftan Novopolotsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | FC Orsha Belarus Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dnepr Mogilev win (61%). Probabilities: Dnepr Mogilev 61%, draw 24%, Naftan Novopolotsk 15%.
How many goals are expected in Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Dnepr Mogilev 1.84 · Naftan Novopolotsk 0.8), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.